This is a discussion on $5 NLHE 6-max: Bluff Catching with JJ on the River ? within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 23/18/2
No Limit Hold'em $0,02/$0,05
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BTN - Hero ($5,17)
SB - SB ($5,00)
BB - BB ($5,00)
You see Villain stats above. This are his stats with over 100 hands but when I played this hand I only had 23 hands on him and he had a VPIP above 30.
His 3bet % is 11 on 109 hands.
Just a short explanation why I called his river bet :
I would usually just fold to these river jams but I felt that I have a good read on the opponent and this situation.
I thought that he would almost never check AK/AA on the flop and would almost never jam the river with QQ. Why would he check a King on the flop with straight and flush draws out there ?
Additionally I do block possible straights with my JJ. So I felt like he was trying to get me off some missed flush draws or random pairs. He did play pretty aggro the hands before.
Similar Threads for: $5 NLHE 6-max: Bluff Catching with JJ on the River ?
Hard to see him not CB with AQcc, AJcc. I don't hate call, given stats said him to be agressive. After 100 hands and vpip/pfr I would think he hardly never bluffs big on the river. However he is the player who looks your stats, and tries to play against hero specifically, so opposite line you normally would do is preferred. Also he might be still be betting AA and QQ for value, as 'everyone knows' that it's hard to hit to paired board.
He has KJ and KQ on the range, it's standard to check those hands, so maybe he just did auto check on the flop without thinking. Also he is bluffs by nature given he did check raise pre. All in all it's hard to give respect to this line generally by villain, but playing for stacks is strong.
7th December 2017, 5:44 PM
Originally Posted by braveslice
He has KJ and KQ on the range, it's standard to check those hands, so maybe he just did auto check on the flop without thinking.
Would you really say it's standard to check KJ or KQ on the flop ? I mean it's ok to check for pot control but I believe most players would c-bet with top pair after 3betting preflop.
I felt pretty uncomfortable calling down but my read was right since he was bluffing with A3d. Still don't know if this is a winning play on the long run.
7th December 2017, 7:45 PM
Online Poker at: Pokerstars
Game: 6max zoom
re: Poker & $5 NLHE 6-max: Bluff Catching with JJ on the River ?
What I tired to say it's many cases it's standard, so maybe he just checked it back while multi-tabling without thinking too much. I probably would check those back in 3bet pot if board would be a bit more dry, I would suspect villain calling has only better K:s in his 3bet call range, especially if I do it with KJ.
9th December 2017, 1:19 PM
Poker at: Pokerstars
Game: Hold em
I feel his 3Bet is light because he feels you are trying to steal the blinds. I would put his range on 77+,ATs+,KTs+,QJs,AJo+ I would have 4Bet here personally to €2,20 or something. I would not have called the river shove. Your hand just doesn't do well against his range.