Originally Posted by debpes
I can't answer but I can share what I'm thinking.
I put this into Pokerstove. I gave the villain a 20% range. Your AKo vs. that range puts you as a 62%/38% favorite.
Do we just shove here? Don't the PS values mean that this will win you more money over time?
If folding: Do we say were waiting for a better spot since AK is still only A-high and we'd basically be a coin flip against any PP?
You're using a %20 range, I'm assuming based on his vpip, but his range for 4betting against our 3bet is going to be drastically different, and we'll be in much worse shape.
For example if he's opening 78s in that spot, it doesn't mean he's going to 4bet it every time he gets 3bet.
Having %68 equity is more than enough to get it in preflop, but that's based on your incorrect assumption that his range is %20. Against his actual stacking range (I'd guess it to be as wide as TT+/AQ+), we have more like %50 equity, in which case stacking isn't tremendously profitable for us, but he probably 4bet/folds enough to make it fine.
I'm not %100 familiar with 10nl but I'd assume someone who is this loose is typically not good, and will typically stack light enough and 4bet/fold enough to make shoving just fine. This is something you should be thinking about when you first make your 3bet though. "What is my plan?". You have to know if you're 3bet/folding, or 3bet/getting it in, or maybe even just flatting pf.