$5 NLHE 6-max: AA vs all in on the flop

M

micromoi

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CO: 180 BB (VPIP: 63.64, PFR: 42.42, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, hands: 33)
BTN: 15.4 BB (VPIP: 21.88, PFR: 4.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 131)
SB: 111.4 BB (VPIP: 10.53, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BB: 180.6 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
UTG: 57.2 BB (VPIP: 28.13, PFR: 1.56, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 66)
Hero (MP): 115.2 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A:club: A:heart:

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.4 BB, 3 players) K:club: 2:spade: 5:spade:
BB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, CO calls 5 BB, BB raises to 10 BB, Hero raises to 30 BB, fold, BB raises to 104 BB, Hero ???
 
fletchdad

fletchdad

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I am calling here. Yea, he could have 22 or 55, and maybe he played KK real weird here. Only 33 hands but unless you have a read that lets you know he wont do this with Kx with FD hands.

The small raise OTF and then shove is a bit scary though. Stzill, he may think he has good FE with draws, so I am probably calling.... and perhaps making notes to fold in the future when he does this..
 
Romario2223

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maybe he have a flash draw or Kx and I will call there
 
L

losarig

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FOLD

It depends on the type of player and tournament. my action would fold because perhaps 55, 22 or kk
 
L

losarig

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FOLD

It depends on the type of player and tournament. my action would fold because perhaps 55, 22 or kk
 
John A

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I don't understand these kinds of posts. I don't get the point.
 
TimovieMan

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I don't understand these kinds of posts. I don't get the point.
The ones with AA?


The small raise and then shove almost makes me pinpoint his hand to exactly AsKs or KsQs.
I don't think sets would've min-raised. Hard to say without reads, though.
 
B

BPEPFPDP

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Very important have some reads, type of player, what hands he have on range, all-in on flop looks scary vs unknown, i'd probably fold when he shoves, or he just bluffing tough with c/r and goes with air, which is highly unlikely on these stakes.
 
J

jwlaw35

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all in baby! I would take this kind of action
 
B

braveslice

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I don't think sets would've min-raised. Hard to say without reads, though.

I agree and that is why call is should be the first thing to consider. However, if we put him to a draw maybe just calling his first rise 10BB is the way to go?
 
C

CactusCat

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You're a 54.9% favorite against a range of: 55, 22, AKs, KJs+, AKo. So, you're being offered 62.5% pot equity vs. 54.9% equity vs. his range.

Give him K10s and I still don't think you can call.

Edit: So he has both black aces himself. This brings down his equity to 52.73% now as he's blocking villian from having the nut flush draw and some AK combinations, right? Still a fold.
 
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John A

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The ones with AA?


The small raise and then shove almost makes me pinpoint his hand to exactly AsKs or KsQs.
I don't think sets would've min-raised. Hard to say without reads, though.

No, I mean post a hand range. This is a simple equity math issue, and the hand range should be pretty straight forward, even for beginners. And if it's not, then post the hands you have a question about in that range.

You're not going to be learning very much making posts like this.
 
John A

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You're a 54.9% favorite against a range of: 55, 22, AKs, KJs+, AKo. So, you're being offered 62.5% pot equity vs. 54.9% equity vs. his range.

Give him K10s and I still don't think you can call.

Edit: So he has both black aces himself. This brings down his equity to 52.73% now as he's blocking villian from having the nut flush draw and some AK combinations, right? Still a fold.

Your range is a bit off... but even so, you're saying OP is a 55% fav and should fold?
 
alipalip

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Not an easy situation without information about Villain but also the best for get some info (when if not now with AA? :) ) I pay them in this situation and make a note that what kind of hands he play this way.(maybe he`s lose agressiv so he got flushdraw, or he`s a NIT and hit`s only with nuts)
 
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Conviction07

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I'd fold here mostly because of the min raise. It looks like he has a monster hand and is trying to extract value out of you without scaring you off. I'm guessing after you re-raise him though, he knows he's got you hooked and would probably get an all in call.
 
M

MinhANguyen

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Would rather just flat the flop raise IP, which is pretty underrated imo. We have position, we get a lot more information OTT, and it allows our opponents to make more mistakes than if we just 3-bet/call off on the flop. Some fish do this with Kx or worse pairs, and you can easily rep a bluff/missed draws OTT and OTR to get some extra value. Stacking off 115bb here readless is probably a leak too.
 
dan5379

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I'm defo calling in this spot. If he has flopped two pair or even has trips you obvs need help but he is more often playing a lower pair or even bluffing with ace high. Good luck. From bonnie Scotland!
 
Gabinho12345

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I think you should call here, he could have some flush draws or AK sometimes.
 
N

nicolas jesus

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got the top of your range and the board is super dry.
It's call.
Besides did you raise on the flop, if you do raise on the flop and then pull the top of your range
* Why would you raise on the flop? if you raise for then fold it is very bad
 
D

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Snapping his hand off, easy call.

Bad sample but check his stats, this guy is easily stacking off with top pair.
 
Aces2w1n

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easy call... we can see monster draws and kx hands getting creative.hell even 64s could do this so yeh its easy call and we will b behind sometimes but who cares we made the right long term move
 
antonis32123

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Maybe I would just be calling the 3bet he made , the 10 BB ,and re-evaluate the situation on the turn . I don't like his check raising oop
 
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