$5 NLHE 6-max: AA call or fold?

hutzpaf

hutzpaf

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MP 3-Bet Range TT+, AJs+(AJ+)

pokerstars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 33.8 BB
SB: 109 BB (VPIP: 20.63, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, hands: 63)
BB: 119 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
UTG: 111 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.46, PFR: 16.98, 3Bet Preflop: 6.22, Hands: 1,403)
Hero (CO): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Ac Ah
UTG raises to 3 BB, MP raises to 10.4 BB, Hero calls 10.4 BB, BTN calls 10.4 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop : (35.6 BB, 3 players) Ts Qh Ks
MP bets 23.8 BB, Hero calls 23.8 BB, BTN calls 23.4 BB and is all-in

Turn : (106.6 BB, 3 players) Qs
MP bets 65.8 BB and Hero ??
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Preflop is whatever. Calling and 4-betting both raise alarm bells. I suppose there's an argument to be made that calling allows the 33bb fish to get involved.

The flop is a clear call since raising drives out the fish.

On the turn, almost everyone has at least some equity. As long as you don't fold you're fine. I probably call, and call all non-spade rivers against an opponent like this.

It was a big pot, but not likely one where your skill mattered much. As long as you don't fold anywhere before the river you really can't affect the outcome of this hand much.

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
102,480 trials (Exhaustive)
board: T:spade: Q:heart: K:spade: Q:spade:
Ac Ah 36.62% (35,435 wins, 4,527 ties)
AK, KK, QQ, AA, AQs, AsX, JsJ 29.48% (27,949 wins, 4,883 ties)
10% 33.90% (34,126 wins, 1,577 ties)

I also gave the fish the top 10% of hands, but that might be a little generous.
 
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