OK, Heres my 1st Update:.....
Any reads on villain?
This is a new site for me. I have played this guy 100 hands. My general view of play is that that he is a solid player. (Poker Office TAG) He plays position and is $200 up with good solid play. His is a slightly above average raiser Pre flop from this small sample of hands, in line with someone playing position, SC's and PP's.
How does he percieve you as a player?
he should have a similar view of me.I am $150 up and we have both been on a table with small stacks who are trying to get rid of their money. Both have managed to take advantage of this. I had only raised/called with something of substance and was prepared for by BB to get taken (if required) and to wait for a better spot against the weaker players.
The scenario before the hand....
I had been playing this 1 table only and trying to get reads on people. He was in mid position and the first two people folded I immediately guessed he would raise standard raise. he did this. My guess was that he was doing a standard blind steal. This instinct from watching basic patterns.
Duriing play - my thoughts.
My thoughts were that he could have anything. That said the implied odds
with a small PP made it worth the call.
The flop: Was a dream. My basic thought were - lets start to build the pot with a rough 1/2 pot raise. If he calls/raises - great I guess i have him with disguised hand. If he folds I have taught him a lesson about stealing my blind.
The turn: I was really pleased with. He could have Sc's (and has not hit) or a high PP. Or he might hopefully have AK. I hope he has. This is the primary reason for a build raising but fairly weak pot, I am hoping he has connected with the king or has a flush straight draw and is finding out his position by reraising. He Does re-raise.
The River: I now fear that he had hit the flush after his turn play and I am sick that I did not re-raise all in. on the turn. That said he might not have and the AK may still be the case.
I think along the lines that I could be beaten - as he must have something to have come this far. However I beat a lot of those potential hands. Thats said I am losing to a lot too. My thoughts are I need to avoid a situation where he raises big on the river as I could be folding a winning hand. I set a blocking bet of $60. He calls.
Q4: Guess what he had?
Q5: How would you have played this differently - as you do not know the result.
Q6: Do you think that any element of of play is a long term losing move?