$400 NLHE Full Ring: Cash game Trip Aces facing a turn check raise

J

jfkingchan

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Cash game $2/$4.
Hero: ~$500 (HJ)
Villian: ~800 (SB). A tight aggressive reg.

2 limpers, Hero opened to $20 with AQo, BTN, SB and one MP called.
Flop A A 6 rainbow. Checked to Hero. Hero checked behind figuring he had the deck crushed and wanted to induce others to take a stab. BTN checked behind.

Turn 3. Board A A 6 3 still rainbow. SB checked, MP bet $52 and Hero smoothed. SB then check raised to $144. MP folded, back to Hero. ??

Hero obviously under-represented his hand but a check raise to a bet and a caller on such a dry board looked quite strong imo. AQ is obviously still beating a lot of hands but would the Villain do that with a worse ace? Would he do that with anything other than pocket 6s or pocket 3s? Is it a good spot to re-raise or just call and reevaluate.

Hero decided to call and river came a Queen so everything became straight forward. In retrospect, had the river came a blank and SB came out firing a huge bet, what should the Hero do? Would love to hear some comments on it. Many thanks in advance!
 
IPlay

IPlay

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Check/jam river all day.

I think turn is a call since he can have weaker Ax. Don't think you can assume he only has boats the way you played your hand.
 
Trabendo_daze

Trabendo_daze

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Iplay - I think we are in later position than villain (SB vs. HJ) so we won't be able to c/j river.

jfkingchan- I think villain could definitely take that line with 66, 33, A6 or A3. However, he could also do the same with A5, A4, A2, AT....I think it just comes down to combinations here. There are only 3 combos of 66, 3 combos of 33, and 3 combos of A6 and A3 each. On the other hand, there are 4 combinations of each weaker Ax including 2,4-5,7-J. That makes 3+3+3=9 combinations of things that beat you (or to which you'll have 2 outs) and 4x8=32 combinations of things that you beat. Furthermore, we can eliminate AK from his range since there was no raise/reraise pre and he seems to be the type that would be capable of that).

Does he have 66/33/A6/A3 here sometimes? Sure definitely. But maybe only about 9/(9+32) = 22% of the time (or let's round up and say 1/4).

As far as your play, I really like the way you went about it. Calling on turn is good with me (this villain will probably be smart enough to fold lower Ax on the turn so you can represent PP and the 45 draw maybe by calling, although you did raise so maybe not 45).

On non-queen rivers I'm calling if bet to and betting if checked to. I figure he's not calling with A2, A5, maybe even A9 on the river if we jam over him (by the way you described him), but he definitely might bet some higher Ax for value. If he checks I figure he might not be able to get away from trip aces, so we can certainly value-bet on the river. If he check-raises, I feel realllllllly disgusted and have to fold. Doesn't look like this guy would be capable of doing that with anything BUT something that crushes you.
 
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