Originally Posted by LeGenie
Hi guys I recently played an interesting hand at a 2/5 NL table and would like some feedback on the way I approached the hand.
MP2 limps. Hero in LP opens to $30 holding A<font color='black'>♠</font> Q<font color='red'>♦</font> Villain in CO and MP2 both call.
The flop comes: 3<font color='black'>♠</font> 4<font color='red'>♥</font> T<font color='black'>♣</font> $97 in pot.
MP2 checks. Hero bets $50. Villain calls. MP2 folds.
The turn brings a T<font color='red'>♦</font> $197 in pot.
It goes check. Check.
The river brings the A<font color='black'>♣</font>
Hero bets $100. Villain shoves for his remaining $200. The reason I value bet this river was because villain's flop calling range consists of A3s, A4s, A2s, 56s, and Tx hands. All these hands are suited because villain wouldn't call pre-flop without a suited weak hand. Villain is loose passive aggressive. He chases draws and commits to them on the turn. I have seen him call a value bet on the flop with a weak draw and commit his stack on the turn with the same draw. His shove here feels like Ax and Tx type hands and given I'm getting nearly 5 to 1 on a call it's hard to fold here.
Thanks for the feedback guys!
I'm slightly confused by the hand setup. You said that MP limped, but you didn't mention what CO did preflop. I'm assuming that CO limped, too, since you said you opened to $30 in late position.
Retardless, I agree that, as played, you have to call here. As you said, you are getting nearly 5-to-1 on your money and there are enough hands you are beating (lower Ax, mid-pairs, and occasional air) that calling is probably +EV --- especially against a LAG like this villain.
My one reservation is that, given's villain's stack size, he really doesn't generate any fold equity with his river shove unless you don't have an ace --- so it really isn't a good bluffing spot. If he's bluffing, he'll only get called by hands that have him beaten and he'll fold out all hands he's beating (no idea what those might be, by the way). For that reason, I wouldn't be surprised to see him show trip tens or a boat --- but I probably make this call regardless unless I have a great read on him.
Whether you should call here or not, I don't like your river bet sizing unless you're committed to calling an overshove. I think you can make a $50 river bet and still fold out worse in most situations while not generating such great odds for yourself that you have to call his overshove. I also think you that checking this river isn't the worst mistake in history --- especially against a LAG.