$400 NLHE 6-max: Spew or Bluff Spot

$400 NL HE 6-max: Spew or Bluff Spot

2/4 NL 100 BB Effective Stacks. Villain is a mildly competent reg

How often should we be giving up on the

- Flop
- Turn
- River

If you like betting the River, how do you size it?

My thoughts and results to follow later as not to influence responses

Dealt to HERO J T
UTG folds
HERO raises to $12
VILLAIN calls $12
SB folds
BB folds

FLOP: ($30) 8 2 8

HERO bets $23
VILLAIN calls $23

TURN: ($76) 7

HERO bets $62
VILLAIN calls $62

RIVER: ($200) A

HERO bets $117

I like this river bet size, looks like pure value for me. I think villain could be holding many hands such as flush draws and small pairs which this bet may fold out as the ace hits and the flush door doesn't get there. However, he could have been chasing an ace high flush draw which he just hit the ace and probably won't fold this spot

ben_rhyno said:

However, he could have been chasing an ace high flush draw which he just hit the ace and probably won't fold this spot

Click to expand...

Yea Im never expecting AhXh to fold here, but I figure he raises overs + the nut FD a decent amount on this flop no?

Quickly looking at the hand, I'm not sure I like betting the flop against any opponent that knows what's going on. It's an easy float for him or even a raise that we can't do much with other than fold.

p.s. i'm a nit

Sexy betting, but I think you'll get a lot of calls looking you up.

His range looks like PP/FD on the turn. River will fold out the FD minus Ahxh, but I think even some of his PPs might look you up.

Bet sizing looks believeable though if that was what you were going for.