re: Poker & $400 NLHE 6-max: River top 2 but villain wagering 3 barrels
Originally Posted by baudib1
Think I'm with Jurn, our hand is pretty underrepped. One of those spots he can't expect us to have top 2.
How much worse do we realistically have here?
We called utg vs co and called flop and turn vs two pretty sizeable bets. We don't really have KJ or worse here. Maybe KJs, but that rivered the nuts; KJc/KJh is probably in there, but is folding river. JTs (not just spades) I suppose is a possibility, but that's weighted a bit towards JTs and JTd. Again though, that's a hand that isn't folding river.
Flush draws all got there; the only busted draw in our range is 9Ts (not spades).
So we have ak/kq for 2 pair, KQs/QJs/QTs/JTs/9Ts for flushes, 77/88/78 (unlikely to have played this way given board texture) and straights for our nutty hands.
Our busted (read: folding river) range is 9Tc/9Th (unlikely to just call/call those), and KJh/KJc.
He should be bluffing a TON here if he's a thinking player. If we had any real money
I'd be hinting at bluff shoving to fold out villain's non-nut and Qx flushes and worse, but I think it's a bit optimistic. With the Ks in our hand it obviously becomes a lot more attractive.
But yeah, we're kind of at the bottom of our range here.