$400 NLHE 6-max: $2/$5 Nuts on turn vs. very good LAG, he checks out of turn
2-5 game 7-handed
3 limps from passives and I complete SB with QTss. Very good LAG internet pro in BB checks.
Flop (pot $25):
I lead for $20, BB raises to $60, everyone folds. I have $650 and he has me well covered with about 3 racks in front of him ($1,500).
I check, he bets $100, I call
He checks out of turn.
My plan was to instashove the river if the flush draw missed to totally polarize my range. Now I'm pretty sure he's not going got call a shove, so obviously I have to bet but how much?
BTW, I would C-R the turn against a lot of people but I feel pretty confident that he would instamuck because he knows what he's doing, it's hard for him to have Aces up or better having checked in the BB (He'd raise AJ+ over limps for sure) and turn check-raise is obviously the nuts most of the time.