Originally Posted by calibanboy
I happen to agree with Mr Snake here. Sorry. In simple terms A,10 is marginal on a raised flop of A,K,9. A reraise is the play to do here as vilian on the flop, as it give one of two outcomes.
a) enables you to win the pot there and then.
b) enables you to see whether the initial raiser has a strong ace minimal. if he has he will call or reraise. If that happens you know you are losing.
A bet of reraise to 70 as suggested is a raise of 50 to a pot of 52 , thus making the pot 102. In effect its an even money bet. Assuming they fold 50% of the time then its =EV. The fact that makes it +EV is the fact that if you get called or if you get reraise then you know you are beat and you save money on later streets eg 250 more in this case. ( which is the equivelent of 5 more pot raises on the flop in very similar scenarios )
again, logic is flawed. ure basically just trying to play the hand the easiest way possible, rather than taking the hgihest +EV line.
if u raise AT on this flop, u might as well raise the whoel range of ure hands that u called with preflop.
why? well if u raise AT on this flop and get called, ure behind right? well its very unlikely that he'll call with a bad Ax as ure assuming and thus wont have any Kx. hence ure just raising the flop hoping for a fold with AT. if u get called or shoved on, ure line is to play 'really cautiosly' and ure gonna fold to any bet. well its also teh same with air. and the arguement that u have showdown value with AT is terrible since uve already assumed that worse hands cant call teh flop raise... so raising is stupid.
also the arguement that raising is good to save money later is flawed, cos now u never can call any bluffs and theres no reason to believe villain cant double barrel worse Ax or simply air/gutshots.
p.s. OP's sn is? im a reg on this game