$4 NLHE Full Ring: TPTK on btn vs 3 nits: do I raise?

rowhousepd

rowhousepd

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 15/8/3.8

I think I might be missing opportunities to raise to when I have TPTK, but w/ 2 other opponents left to act I'm not sure if it's ok to just flat a cbet.

Villain is 15/8/3.8 nit who likes to bet a lot as are the other two in the blinds so he could have QQ+ and maybe a set w/ 88. Decent Broadway like KJ, QJ, or JT that be might play which I have beat. He makes a standard 2/3rd sized bet.

Do I call and expecting a raise on the flop, and try to see this showdown cheaply? Or do I end it here w/ a nice big raise (& fold in he plays back) to like ~$1.00 and possibility save myself from calling bets to he river? Otherwise the temptation will be to keep calling the Turn & Riv as long as the bets aren't too crazy and the cards aren't scary. Thought?

Merge Network $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
Hand History Converter

BB: $3.89
UTG: $4.06
UTG+1: $1.52
MP1: $4.06
MP2: $3.43
Hero (CO): $4.13
BTN: $4.16
SB: $2.07

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is CO with A
diamond.gif
J
spade.gif

3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.12, Hero calls $0.12, 1 fold, SB calls $0.10, BB calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.48) 3
spade.gif
8
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J
club.gif
(4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP2 bets $0.32, Hero ??? calls or raises ???
 
_dogmeat

_dogmeat

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Just call and re-evaluate on turn, imo. Blinds may have woken up with a big hand, and the PFR can have a big hand too.

Given that he's a nit, he probably won't continue with much of his range that you're beating, probably QJ and KJ and that's about it. He might fire a second barell on turn if you flat call though.
 
rssurfer54

rssurfer54

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I think you can just call down.

Although maybe this is too nitty, but possibly fold pre? You aren't guaranteed position, and this is pretty much the best board you could hope for, and you still have to play it cautiously vs the nit. Although maybe since he is aggro and will double barrel a lot its okay.
 
danprince10

danprince10

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I might have folded pre given the scenario but on the flop I would probably be in there raising, you will be able to quickly know where you stand the other 2 are most likely going to fold so you'll at least be isolated. I'd raise.
 
brank

brank

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How big is the sample on the PFR and what is their c bet %?

I like a call here. We also have position so it'll make playing the hand way easier. Re-evaluate on the turn.
 
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