$4 NLHE Full Ring: Setmining and called down with low pair

J

Jreece18

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888 Poker - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 102 BB (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 8.21, 3Bet Preflop: 2.82, hands: 198)
BB: 87.25 BB (VPIP: 35.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
UTG: 497 BB (VPIP: 13.48, PFR: 9.22, 3Bet Preflop: 1.82, Hands: 141)
Hero (UTG+1): 101.5 BB
MP: 101 BB (VPIP: 10.53, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 20)
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
CO: 78.75 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6:diamond: 6:heart:

UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (13 BB, 4 players) 4:diamond: 3:club: K:heart:
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, MP checks

Turn: (13 BB, 4 players) K:spade:
SB checks, UTG bets 6.5 BB, Hero calls 6.5 BB, fold, fold

River: (26 BB, 2 players) T:heart:
UTG bets 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

UTG shows A:club: Q:spade: (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 45%, Flop 26%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows 6:diamond: 6:heart: (Two Pair, Kings and Sixes)
(Pre 55%, Flop 74%, Turn 86%)
Hero wins 45.25 BB

I had entirely put him on AQ after he checked on the flop. Obviously this could've gone another way if I didn't actually get the right read, but is this kind of move okay or should I not be risking it?
 
John A

John A

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Just bet flop. If original raiser checks here, on this kind of texture, just make a medium bet to protect your equity. MW, you're not going to want a ton of AJ, QT, etc... type hands going to the turn.

As played calling the turn is fine, and the river sizing, it's probably borderline. Obviously he doesn't have Kx, but the question is if he's VBing other mid pairs. The river call is probably slightly +EV, and just depends on aggression levels of your opponent at that point.
 
TimovieMan

TimovieMan

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Once UTG checks the flop, I think we can make a half-pot bet.

I'm giving up when called, though.

As played, I think I fold the turn. He still bets into three others. Lots of pocket pairs beat our 66.
 
T

thatspoker

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Your opponent there is very tight preflop and he surely can have other pairs. As timovieman mentioned above he's betting into 3 other players. I think you need to fold turn, your call is too hopeful.
 
H

hffjd2000

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It seems villain is tight and value betting on turn and river.

He can have a pair just like us. The problem is, he might have a higher pair than us.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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I probably fold the turn. To me, his hand looks a lot like TT-QQ, and he has solid looking stats. Don't post the results, they taint your analysis.

I like betting the flop too. People don't bet enough multi-way flops.
 
M

MinhANguyen

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Not sure why you put him squarely on AQ. He can easily have JJ/QQ OTT, maybe 1010. I'm just giving up on this flop multi-way. There are two other people to act behind us. If you really want to make a move at the pot, raise his turn bet.
 
IPlay

IPlay

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Such a strange line for villain to take with AQ. What does he think we are folding and if he wanted to bluff why not do it on this dry K high flop? I think we will see a lot of middle pairs here that are milking smaller pairs but if he shows up with spew like this then calling is fine. I think by default the turn is a fold though. Turn is probably always a fold with two behind us.
 
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