Originally Posted by Deco
I don't like it.
I raise the flop to assure we get folds from his mediocre value either now or on the turn. He has very little that can 3bet us here and seeing as he's not fully stacked and his stats are a little weak. As played the turn bet is a must, his range is almost entirely weak value hands or bluffs at this point.
Villain is 18/11. He folds to aggression does he not? He's basically using his hand on the turn as a bluff catcher, and when/ if we miss river w/ our FD we have not spewed. So what you are saying is re-raise flop /or bet largish to tid on the turn? I'm really curious here because I might be making some mistakes in spots like this on 2 tone flops, holding the nfd.
One other note to OP , your fold to 3bet is 30%, can you check and see what hands you've called 3bets with? Normally that is a big leak, we want a much higher fold to 3bet stat 75%+. It could be sample size though. The reason I asked about this is because if you have a high call 3bet stat I don't know why the villain didn't 3bet his hand. Could just again be the villain playing the hand terribly.