Originally Posted by sindri_93
Villain can never fold turn but im curious why u jam?
Doesnt have to be bad just curious what your hoping/expecting to get called by, if villain has shown a inability to fold FDs/TP ect to overbets its obvs great but im not sure if its more ev in general then a pot bet here since we should get calls by more of his 88-TT/7x/naked 6x ect that way.
Not that it matters in exactly this hand since your both allways stacking off here on the turn, board is to wet to fold 2p and he has TP with all the redraws...
Oh and the next time u post a hand please use another converter, the CC one is crap.
The reason why I checked on the flop was because mp3 usually takes stab at the limped pot. His stats were 78/11/33. His post-flop aggression was 1.3/100/63. He stole limped pot 66% although it's just 2 out of 3 limped pots. I figured that he might bet out, I can squeeze play with check-raise, pick up some dead money. But instead, mp-3 checked and villain bet out.
I figured that unless he has a higher two pairs or a flopped straight, I should make a huge oversized bet by making it less than 2:1 to call, which suggests for him to fold if he's on flush draw or straight draw. Not many hands can beat me on the turn. Right when the cards rolled over, I was disappointed that he called on a draw and win it but when I looked at it again, I realized, "omg, that is a monstrous draw. I don't think I would've folded as well." Never witness such hand where equity was exactly 50:50. And yeah, this was my first post on cash game analysis. I need to use better converter. river was 9 of hearts, which made him win the pot.
And recently, I got an email from ft about an article where harman explains controlling the pot size. I'm wondering if that applies here since limped pot started off very small with 7 cents.