O man Taco, that's brutal.
I've been staring at your post for an hour and I've decided it's an easy fold. lawlz
First: If we are putting faith in this idea that we need to know a little about an opponent before we can play properly, then why play him OOP from the blinds? Either raise more or fold.
would raise flop, and if they didn't, they'd raise turn for sure. Also, there is just the fact that the fourth ten from the deck is hard to have. So he didn't have a ten.
The only hands you beat (that could have taken that call,call, raise line) really are only KK and AA... a lot of players like to be trappy with them and they do the suspicious all-in river bet... and a lot of players cant help but to get it in with these types of hands.
so 12 combos you beat for aces+kings. This could be less likely since people tend to re raise at some point in the hand earlier than the river.
12 combos to which you lose for the set of 2s that made a house, and the 9 combos of suited cards that include
, which would be the most logical flush that hit.
So you win 12 for 12 losses, or 12 of 48 losses depending how you look at it if he went hog wild with a back door flush draw
Then there are your pot odds
. 62.5 BB
, and the bet to call is 24.5
So if my math is right, it looks like a call. Then again, I suck more at math than I do at poker, which is an impressive amount of suckage. I hope to dear god I'm not spreading misinformation, so if anyone can double check or correct my logic please let me know.
But that's just the math of it. In reality, it'd be a fold, most people wouldn't bet 2 pair like that if one of those pairs is on the board already. Lol. Nice to think about though.