$4 NLHE 6-max: KJ suited from CO vs. floater

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 20/13/2

I am on CO with KhJh. I opened to 13c (3.25bb).

Villain, the BTN, calls. Blinds fold.

Flop: 8h3c7h

I cbet 24c, villain calls.

Turn: 5s

What is the best course of action to take here? Keep barreling?

I felt that if I bet again, it may fold him out. But if he calls again and the river is a dud then I am in an awkward situation.

I was pretty sure if I chk he would try to steal, against which I can shove. If he folds, then I win that extra bet. If he calls, I still have outs at least 9 outs (Unless he has an ace high flush draw).

Sure enough, he throws out 53c into the 80c pot. I shoved my remaining $2.70. He folds.

He had a WSD% around ~30% so I felt he was capable of folding a marginal hand to a chk/raise from a tight player. I had a tight table image (assuming he pays attention) and been playing ABC poker.

Good move on my part, or stupid?

Would be nice to know what his Fold to Flop CBet is but you call him a floater so I assume it is not high. His overall stats 20/13 fit the image of that kind of player also, bit of a station/bad player. Would also be nice to know what his Turn Float Bet is or something about his postflop aggression like Total AF.

But overall, I like your line. Double barreling would of course be fine and standard as well. This line wins you a bigger pot though. Just make sure to do your homework first with this line using some of the stats I talked about above assuming you have a decent sample size on the guy. You need to know that there is a good likelihood that he will fold. Some players at these stakes will only take this line with 2pair+ and are snap calling your shove.

blueskies said:

What is the best course of action to take here? Keep barreling?

I felt that if I bet again, it may fold him out.

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You say this like it is a bad thing. We have King high. I don't think him folding is a terrible result.

BlackRain79 said:

You say this like it is a bad thing. We have King high. I don't think him folding is a terrible result.

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I worded the phrases poorly, I should have connected it with the sentence that followed it.

I meant it like I could fold him out, but if he called then I am left in an awkward position if I missed the river. And if I hit my flush and lead out, he may just fold and I win nothing more.

I felt the chk/shove had better fold equity and it can win me a larger pot if he folded.

I am only using Carbon's handtracker which doesn't have the deeper stats that you mentioned.

Thank you for your thoughts.

Don't c-bet K high and hands like that on mid pair coordinated boards and draw heavy boards like this unless you have a big hand or a draw yourself, especially against someone you think floats a lot. C/F. Boards like 87,98,TJ with 2 of one suit, out of position, you're probably getting folds 25% or less, and your equity will rarely be great.

I thought you played it well, I don't see anything wrong with your c bet with the heart flush draw and over cards against that board.
You have about 48% equity against any likely pair of 7 or 8 or small pair that he may have (t-8 9-8, 9-7, 7-6, 22 through 66, I would be betting large on the turn with that equity.
Personally I think check raising the turn the way you played it is quite a gutsy bluff and you won with king high, an excellent result.

Figaroo2 said:

I thought you played it well, I don't see anything wrong with your c bet with the heart flush draw and over cards against that board.
You have about 48% equity against any likely pair of 7 or 8 or small pair that he may have (t-8 9-8, 9-7, 7-6, 22 through 66, I would be betting large on the turn with that equity.
Personally I think check raising the turn the way you played it is quite a gutsy bluff and you won with king high, an excellent result.

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You don't have anywhere near 48% equity versus top pair. Against his whole range, you may have 35% equity, which on the surface may look like a profitable bet when factoring in FE (although this will be super low on this kind of board), but being OOP on a board where your turn equity is super low if your opponent calls the flop, makes it better to c/f against most opponents.

48% equity against top pair after the flop. Agreed only 30% after the turn.

Hero flopped a flush draw with overs and backdoor SD.

Figaroo2 said:

48% equity against top pair after the flop. Agreed only 30% after the turn.

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No, you don't have 48% versus top pair. Not sure how you're getting this, but typically speaking if you have 2 overs and not really any other outs, you have ~25% vs top pair on the flop. Usually you'll have a few more runner runner outs though that will bump your equity up at minimum.

John A said:

No, you don't have 48% versus top pair. Not sure how you're getting this, but typically speaking if you have 2 overs and not really any other outs, you have ~25% vs top pair on the flop. Usually you'll have a few more runner runner outs though that will bump your equity up at minimum.

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John: You have missed the part where hero flopped a flush draw with his overs.