Originally Posted by combuboom
nope and nope. neither of these hands pots the river the way the hand played out. the hand-reading point, and a likely reason FP wants to call, is that this river bet size nearly always polarizes his range between bluffs (most likely missed draws), and two pair +. very read dependent but i definitely make hero calls here against certain players and am right a lot
That's indeed what I was getting at. It's a really weird betsize for the river. I mean, not everyone has betsizing down pat in their sleep, but generally speaking, people like to see a showdown with decent hands. They also hate making people fold when they have great hands.
So; his big bet on the river makes it one of three possibilities:
1. He's bluffing. Missed draw, whatever.
2. He's a very good player who bet with AJ and simply outlevelled me.
3. He has a monster and played very weirdly.
He needs to be the first only one time in three, yes.
It's the size
that made me go "huh?" He didn't push all-in. He didn't bet small (I would've called a small bet, fwiw, just for the pot odds
). He bet $10, which was almost
his entire stack. It seemed to me he wants me to fold.