[25NL FR] TT oop on board of unders

BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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Villain is 14/1/1.5 over 560 hands. Fold to flop bet is 81%. Is it weak or prudent to fold on turn min-raise here?

full tilt poker Game #7138502485: Table Slice (deep) - $0.10/$0.25 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:42:51 ET - 2008/07/08
Seat 1: TheLennybear ($38.95)
Seat 2: Cdn Chris ($25)
Seat 3: TexasDudette ($24.50)
Seat 4: Sk4nd4l ($49.85)
Seat 5: BelgoSuisse ($25.45)
Seat 6: loada08 ($9.65)
Seat 7: 88all ($21.20)
Seat 8: Hloser ($28.45)
Seat 9: jp4347 ($28.60)
Sk4nd4l posts the small blind of $0.10
BelgoSuisse posts the big blind of $0.25
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to BelgoSuisse [Ts Th]
loada08 folds
88all calls $0.25
Hloser folds
jp4347 folds
TheLennybear folds
Cdn Chris folds
TexasDudette has 15 seconds left to act
TexasDudette calls $0.25
Sk4nd4l folds
BelgoSuisse raises to $1.10
88all calls $0.85
TexasDudette folds
*** FLOP *** [4s 8d 3h]
BelgoSuisse bets $2
88all calls $2
*** TURN *** [4s 8d 3h] [5h]
BelgoSuisse bets $4.50
88all raises to $9
BelgoSuisse folds
Uncalled bet of $4.50 returned to 88all
88all mucks
88all wins the pot ($14.80)
 
Tygran

Tygran

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i seriously doubt someone with those stats is betting anything you beat that way.

looks like a set/two pair or maybe a straight (a2 and 67 are probably in his range...esp if suited).

possibly even an overpair with a pfr of 1%...

I think I might even like a check call line on the turn over a bet line into someone with those stats after you are called on the flop and the straight card comes in. hands like 99/TT can get you into all sorts of trouble on all low card flops.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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You have to raise more pf, especially being out of position. Bump to like $1.5-2.

After you bet the flop and he calls, he's basically got to have either a smaller pocket pair, maybe something like 89s, maybe 56, or something that beats you and is never folding. The only good thing betting does is charge 56 which is a tiny part of his range. The smaller PPs will usually fold, as will 89s, and obviously we're giving money to sets and two pair hands. Your goal after he calls the flop should probably just be to get to showdown.

As played I think folding is probably standard. The only hand we beat that I see doing this is maybe 99 or a very rare bluff.
 
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