[25NL FR] Top 2 vs super strong line from solid villain

B

bw07507

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I Have been TAG
Villain is 12/7/3.67 but his aggression frequency is only 17% and I have seen him lead sets b4. Hand sample of ~500

I mean does he ever do this with AT or AQ?

PokerStars Game #19315311269: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/08/03 - 00:36:44 (ET)
Table 'Hecuba II' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: bw07507 ($30.55 in chips)
Seat 2: stukoo ($11.85 in chips)
Seat 3: spiderspike ($37.40 in chips)
Seat 4: JennyCema ($23.60 in chips)
Seat 5: ricecooka972 ($26.90 in chips)
Seat 6: Axeman_1002 ($15 in chips)
Seat 7: CheckItNice ($27.15 in chips)
Seat 8: Sleazy Bar ($37.15 in chips)
JennyCema: posts small blind $0.10
ricecooka972: posts big blind $0.25
Axeman_1002: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bw07507 [Ad Ks]
Axeman_1002: checks
CheckItNice: folds
Sleazy Bar: folds
bw07507: raises $0.95 to $1.20
stukoo: calls $1.20
spiderspike: folds
JennyCema: folds
ricecooka972: calls $0.95
fbister joins the table at seat #9
Axeman_1002: folds
*** FLOP *** [Ah Tc Kh]
ricecooka972: bets $1.75
bw07507: raises $5.45 to $7.20
stukoo: folds
ricecooka972: raises $18.50 to $25.70 and is all-in
bw07507: ?
 
joos

joos

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probably stack it here and take notes. He can show up with A10+ here or maybe even J10s calling PF
 
l Love Beer

l Love Beer

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I'd probably reluctantly click the call button and expect to see ThJh, TT, or AT. Maybe even AJ/AQ. Probably least likey is TT as he most likely wouldn't donk into you w/ a set unless fairly confident that you'd raise. And if he did donk into you i'd expect it to be bigger.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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Vomit & pay the man. If he's a solid player, his calling range doesn't include a lot of AT. There's way more QJ, TT, JhTh in his calling range than AT. But unless I have history, I pretty much get it in with top 2 on this board.

If you've seen him lead out with sets, and play monsters before in this manner, and you have him as not stacking off light & playing solid, this *can* be a fold. But I rarely fold 2 pair + in a raised pot at 6 max, and I'm assuming its about the same at full ring.
 
F

feitr

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donking into you with a flop that hits your range this hard probably means you are looking at hands like JQ/TT/combo draws almost all the time. I don't think this is ever AT. I cannot see any 12/7 ever calling pre with AT. I really can't see this being AQ either, seeing as AQ only beats AJ on this flop. Would make no sense for a solid player to bloat the pot like this with AQ. Still, it isn't like you can ever fold this, especially considering there is a good possibility of a combo draw like a FD + GS. But i doubt you are ahead here very often at all, and if you are you are most likely barely ahead. Personally, i'd flat the flop, seeing solid players are very rarely/never donking on a flop like this with air/medium strength hands. As soon as you raise the flop (which is fine) you have to snap call the shove imo.
 
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