25NL FR 3 Barrel Bluff, Thoughts on turn?

Kind of interesting spot on the turn as there are a ton of different lines I think that could be taken here. Interested in seeing what some have to say on the turn and also the whole hand in general.

I have been pretty LAGy 22/17/2.5
Villain is 20/6/1 over 60 hands and seems to be fairly easy to runover postflop.

Also villain waited a long time to call flop, FWIW.

Stacks:
* SB with $25.00
* BB with $11.80
* UTG with $4.70
* MP1 with $28.10
* MP2 with $7.75
* evantair with $65.50
* BTN with $13.15




Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: pokerstars
* * Dealt to MP1:J♠ T♠
* * Sklansky group 3
Preflop:
* * 1 players fold.
Hero raises $0.75 to $1
* * 1 players fold.
* * evantair calls [$1]
* * 3 players folded.
* * Total folds this street: 5
* * Potsize: $2.35
Flop: A♦ Q♣ 4♦ Hero bets [$1.50]
* * 3 players fold.
* * evantair calls [$1.50]
* * Potsize: $5.35
Turn: 8♥ Hero bets [$3.25]
* * evantair calls [$3.25]
* * Potsize: $11.85
River: 7♥ Hero bets [$6]

Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

Kind of interesting spot on the turn as there are a ton of different lines I think that could be taken here. Interested in seeing what some have to say on the turn and also the whole hand in general.

I have been pretty LAGy 22/17/2.5
Villain is 20/6/1 over 60 hands and seems to be fairly easy to runover postflop.

Also villain waited a long time to call flop, FWIW.

Stacks:
* SB with $25.00
* BB with $11.80
* UTG with $4.70
* MP1 with $28.10
* MP2 with $7.75
* evantair with $65.50
* BTN with $13.15




Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: Pokerstars
* * Dealt to MP1:J♠ T♠
* * Sklansky group 3
Preflop:
* * 1 players fold.
Hero raises $0.75 to $1
* * 1 players fold.
* * evantair calls [$1]
* * 3 players folded.
* * Total folds this street: 5
* * Potsize: $2.35
Flop: A♦ Q♣ 4♦ Hero bets [$1.50]
* * 3 players fold.
* * evantair calls [$1.50]
* * Potsize: $5.35
Turn: 8♥ Hero bets [$3.25]
* * evantair calls [$3.25]
* * Potsize: $11.85
River: 7♥ Hero bets [$6]

Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

So you're hoping villain can lay down a Q but honestly the only thing he's likely folding on the river to a 1/2 pot bet is a busted draw / pair under queens (maybe). I think this ones a loser long term.

Also with his stats he's likely calling way too much. Don't 3 barrel bluff these guys and justify their calls.

Yeah, I'd prefer stats more indicative of a solid player before barreling the turn/river. But with absolutely no showdown value, I'm okay betting 6-8 here on the river after you barrel the turn. If this was a QT2 flop with an 8 turn, and you were holding AJ, I wouldn't bluff the river.

Against stationy players like these, I'm mostly check/calling the turn. Do you have a fold to c-bet %?

P.S. - I consider 22/17's to be TAGs (albeit looser ones).

c9h13no3 said:

P.S. - I consider 22/17's to be TAGs (albeit looser ones).

Click to expand...

This is FR. 22/17 is pretty loose for FR.


I think this might work some percentage of the time against a flush that didnt get there, the key fact here imo is that the turn and the river do not really change the board texture so therefore a lot of times if he was calling flop, he is also calling turn and river.

By betting you must have seen vilian lay down in that spot. He has already called a preflop raise and a flop bet. He must have entered the pot with some values, but unlikely to have a monster. I give you tons of credit for the turn bet. I still have not developed my game to have the heart for a turn bet with close to nothing. I think by making the turn bet and still getting flat called, I would have never bet the river. I would guess a call for sure on the river by any pair, and villian looks to have some pair. The turn might have been more interesting to check-raise if villian bet. But again, I'm speculating the hands I put him on (either mid ace or medium pair I think). A check raise would get him off those hands, while a bet allows him to continue to call your hand down. Very interesting hand.