[25nl 6max] JJ in trouble, or pop it?

icemonkey9

icemonkey9

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Villain is 23/8/3 with a 50% fold to flop bet and 100% cbet stats.

Stacks:

BB with $23.55
UTG with $26.30
MP with $53.50
CO with $50.70
BTN with $33.90
SB with $23.65

Dealt to MP:J♠ J♥

Preflop:
1 players fold.
Hero raises $0.75 to $1
1 players fold.
BTN calls [$1]
SB raises $2.50 to $3.50
1 players fold.
Hero calls [$2.50]
1 players folded.
Total folds this street: 4
Potsize: $8.25

Flop:
5♥ 10♣ Q♣

SB bets [$5.75]
1 players fold.
Hero ???https://www.cardschat.com
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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No 3-bet %?

I'm certainly not folding to 1 bet here, since all that tells us is "Villain still has 2 cards". I call this flop every time. Raising is pretty bad tho.
 
Jagsti

Jagsti

I'm sweet enough!
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How significant are these stats, are they over a decent sample? If they are then I'm calling at least one street. He's repping a pretty narrow range if he's gonna double barrell so I think I could find a fold then if the turns a blank. As C9 says I'm not a fan of the r/r, lets get it to S/D aas cheaply as possible imo.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Sample is a whopping 25 hands.

So his 100% c-bet stat is pretty misleading because he's only raised preflop twice before and he's cbet both of them. That means nothing essentially.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Villain is unknown. The only thing you could really assume from a sample size that small is that he's a maniac or a nit if he's playing all/none of his hands. Anywhere in the middle and he's just an unknown.

I think the standard line here is to flat the flop and reevaluate the turn - giving up if he bets. Raising accomplishes nothing, as was mentioned, and folding is a little soft since we still beat a big chunk of his range.
 
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