$25NL 6 max: TT in blind war

c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Stats: 23/12 over 173 hands.
15% Aggression Frequency
CBet =14%
Fold to C-bet = 56%
Steal % = 27%

My image is lag/spewy. I've shown down some "fun" hands like T6s. I'm running 38/35

Also, I am unknown to villain. A lot of those stats were from a different account. He only has this session to base his decisions from.

***** Hand History for Game 5525472422675 *****
$25.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, August 03, 01:53:57 ET 2008
Table Upland (real money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: Sabre X ( $29.44 USD )
Seat 2: Hero ( $30.34 USD )
Seat 3: ArsenalRocks ( $25.34 USD )
Seat 4: Sleepyone2 ( $22.25 USD )
Seat 5: GrouG22 ( $26.09 USD )
Sabre X posts small blind [$0.10 USD].
Hero posts big blind [$0.25 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Ts Th ]
ArsenalRocks folds
GrouG22 folds
Sabre X raises [$0.90 USD]
Hero raises [$3.25 USD]
Sabre X calls [$2.50 USD]
Potsize = 7$
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2d, Qh, Qs ]
Sabre X checks
Hero bets [$4.75 USD]
Sabre X calls [$4.75 USD]
Potsize = 16.50$
** Dealing Turn ** [ As ]
Sabre X checks
Hero checks
** Dealing River ** [ Tc ]
Sabre X checks
Hero bets [$22.09 USD] and is all in.

Mostly just wondering if this is standard. Maybe a smaller bet on the river? Maybe a bit small on the c-bet size? Villain's range is looking like JJ/KK/99/88 plus some slow played stuff on the river, no? Would AK bet this river?
 
Last edited:
Tygran

Tygran

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My first thought would be pretty much the same..this looks like JJ or 99...


I seriously doubt he has a Q.

I could see AK doing this and checking the river with those stats because he's scared of a Q.


I think the all in from you is absolutely fine given the action and your image. depending on how closely he's been paying attention he might just call you anyway with AK.
 
Mr Alacran

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I'm certainly not putting him on a Q after the action, and as said above I think AK is a very possible holding, along with any pocket pair 22-JJ. Maybe AJ too. So, you crush the balance of his range.
I really like the overbet for value on the river. I think that you're getting maximum value with these bet, as a made hand would call a half pot bet the same as this overbet. Also, you're getting probably some calls from non believer underpairs... What did you got in this hand, a call or a fold?
 
B

bw07507

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I doubt he checks AK on the river after u check behind on the turn. I like a pot sized bet here a little better since ur giving villain better odds to call u here with Ax and underpairs.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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I doubt he checks AK on the river after u check behind on the turn. I like a pot sized bet here a little better since ur giving villain better odds to call u here with Ax and underpairs.

You really think he'd call $16.50 but fold to $22?

I like the river shove.
 
B

bw07507

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You really think he'd call $16.50 but fold to $22?

I like the river shove.

Wow im retarded, i calculated pot to be $11. Yea shove is pretty easy decision here i think now :)
 
OzExorcist

OzExorcist

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Mostly just wondering if this is standard. Maybe a smaller bet on the river? Maybe a bit small on the c-bet size? Villain's range is looking like JJ/KK/99/88 plus some slow played stuff on the river, no? Would AK bet this river?

Like others have said, I don't know if a smaller bet on the river will change much - your shove isn't much bigger than the size of the pot, and if villain is calling a smaller bet I think he's calling a shove too. The only exception is probably an underpair (JJ, say) that might make a crying call if you bet small on the river.

On his range... I'd figure 99+ / AT+. Maybe KQ. The nastiness for us is going to come if he's got AA or AQ, of course - FWIW, I don't think we can rule those hands out (though he's got to be certain you're gonna bet to be checking both the turn and the river with one of those).

Agree that we're ahead of most of their range though. AK / AJ are both very plausible here, as are JJ and KK.

Whether AK bets this river very much depends on your image, I think. AK would have to feel relatively confident at this stage. Against a regular opponent I think it probably leads this river, but against a spewy LAG, maybe it checks hoping you're going to hang yourself by bluffing a fair amount of the time.
 
Munchrs

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i prefer a check behind on the rivr as really there isnt going to be much villian calls that doesnt beat us imo. + im opposed to varience.
 
F Paulsson

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i prefer a check behind on the rivr as really there isnt going to be much villian calls that doesnt beat us imo. + im opposed to varience.
Are you looking at the same river that I am?

I think this is pretty standard.
 
Munchrs

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lol FP, how could i have missed that! :O ignore my nitty comments :\
 
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GrantGreen

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If you'd bet more like $6 on the flop, your river bet would be less of an overbet.... so what you said basically. More on flop would have set it up better for river.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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If you'd bet more like $6 on the flop, your river bet would be less of an overbet.... so what you said basically. More on flop would have set it up better for river.
Isn't that a bit results oriented? I'm not always going to hit a 2-outer.

I generally c-bet smaller in 3-bet pots. Just because my c-bets work less (villain's range is stronger), and because I'm not all that eager to stack TT on this flop.
 
WVHillbilly

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vincemcnabb

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If I were in your situation, I would value bet around $12 here, so AK I think would call that. I think he had AJ, though, I have a small feeling about it haha :)
 
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