$25NL 6-max: KK vs. Nit who wants his money in the middle

Villain Stats:

12/5/26% over 400 hands
C-bet % = 33%

He's not insanely nitty. He will raise J7s on the button as a steal. But usually quite the nit.

Seat 3 is the button
Seat 2: nxaying ( $21.15 USD )
Seat 3: Hero ( $36.70 USD )
Seat 4: noleh8r ( $44.17 USD )
Seat 5: mrunde ( $37.77 USD )
Seat 6: s_moore85 ( $42.21 USD )
noleh8r posts small blind [$0.10 USD].
mrunde posts big blind [$0.25 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ ]
s_moore85 folds
nxaying calls [$0.25 USD]
Hero raises [$1.50 USD]
noleh8r folds
mrunde folds
nxaying calls [$1.25 USD]
Potsize = $3.35
** Dealing Flop ** [ ]
nxaying checks
Hero bets [$2.75 USD]
nxaying raises [$5.50 USD]
Hero calls [$2.75 USD]
Potsize = $14.35
** Dealing Turn ** [ ]
nxaying bets [$14.15 USD]
Hero.....


This reeks like a set of 5's.... standard lay down?

It does smell very much like a set with the limp/call preflop, the min-raise on the flop, and then leading the turn. Is this JJ/QQ often enough to make playing for stacks worthwhile, I doubt it (although with your laggy image he may think TPTK or JJ is good here).

I probably stack just because I like to pay off sets.

pull up his known hands and see how he plays sets/nuts. Will give a much better idea of range.

I could probably find a lay down after looking at his stats. The limp calls screams set-mine and the c-min raise on the dryish flop reiterates that. Looking at the board what can we beat that c-r's the flop: A10, K10, QJ, maybe QQ, JJ but with those nitty stats I would expect him to raise these PF, but even with those hands I doubt he's stepping out of line and raising with something that doesnt have us crushed enough of the time to make this profitable.

I think this is a pretty standard lay down unless you see he's playing back at you alot.

ummmm nit play.... its fold for me .. i think 1010 or 99 is his rank on cold call and min raise on flop

yeah reeks of a set...i smell it all the way over here

i guess opponent could play QQ this way but as AJrobin already said from this player i would have expected a raise pre-flop so i don't think a person with these stats turns up QQ enough here to make a call profitable


i think i i cringe my face and just fold


how did you end up playing it?

I folded, he didn't show.

A 12/5 with an Agression Frequency of 25% is never taking this line without a set i dont think. 12/5s don't limp call JJ or QQ preflop so I think you can take that out of his range and I don't think he would do it with any hand with a single T or 9. Looks like a standard fold

Yep..he wants the money in the middle and you pretty much can't beat anything he'd want the money in the middle with.

nits like that pretty much never limp call JJ+ or AT/9T/etc. There is no flush draw so he doesn't have something like AKs and again he's not gonna limp-reraise JQ or 78.

leaving him pretty squarely on TT/99/55.

In fact that min-reraise from a nit like this on the flop is virtually always an attempt at pot building with the nuts or close to it.