$25NL 6-max: Bluff Raise on River vs. Nit

c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Villain is a 17/7/17%, weak passive over 672 hands.
Fold to C-bet % = 62%
3-bet % = 5.2%
WTSD = 19%

Our image is prolly pretty laggy on this table, but not as crazy as the other one.


Hero (BTN): $31.83 (127.3 bb)
SB: $36.29 (145.2 bb)
BB: $26.58 (106.3 bb)
UTG: $12.72 (50.9 bb)
MP: $11.49 (46 bb)
CO: $18.75 (75 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with J
spade4.gif
8
diamond4.gif

3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.90, BB folds

Flop: ($2.25) 8
heart4.gif
T
heart4.gif
Q
heart4.gif
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2.25) 7
spade4.gif
(2 players)
SB bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

River: ($6.75) T
spade4.gif
(2 players)
SB bets $2, Hero raises to $8.15, SB folds


Obviously, I had planned on bluff-raising any heart, and calling with any jack. However, I figured this wasn't a bad card to bluff either.

My check behind on the flop because I figured he wouldn't semi-bluff since he's so passive, so I could often check this hand down for showdown value. C-betting is probably good too tho. Thoughts?
 
Jagsti

Jagsti

I'm sweet enough!
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River bet looks weak by villain, so Yeah I like the river r/r, hopefully it's enough for villain to ditch tpwk type of hand.
 
G

gns2003

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Tight player is going to fold lots of hands on a reraise. Certainly equity play here. I actually think you sell it better by not betting the flop. If you bet the flop it looks like you may be running him off with a river raise with a busted flush draw. I think you get slightly more calls there. Alternatively you may have closed the hand out earlier with a flop raise, but again you get less cash as tight player doesn't likely bet on turn / river. I like the play.
 
F

feitr

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well vs nits like this you don't even have to make sense...if you make them pay alot to see sd, they look at their hand and a scary board and think "well i guess he has something good". villain would probably fold some queens here, just because he'll convince himself that hero must have a T or if not there is also the flush and straight possibilities to worry about (again doesn't matter that none of these hands make the slightest sense) and nitty tendencies overcome and they fold. Especially since river raises tend to = the nuts in micro stakes.
 
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