Originally Posted by baudib1
mmm maybe, still, it's just as hard for us to rep an Ace given that we checked the flop.
True but this doesn't matter nearly as much imo. He might find it suspicious and call the turn (like I said I'm cool with that) but when we shove just slightly more than pot on the river he'll only be seeing hands that beat him and he'll make the good fold.
If we only call here, we're very rarely making any money on the river when we do hit. Also if we miss and bluff after he checks the river, villain will be much more likely to call with his bluff catchers because the pot, and therefore the river bet, won't be nearly as big and villain gets to see SD in the size pot he wants to.
The only way we really make more by calling is when the SB has a smaller FD that he would fold to the turn raise and we both get there on the river (like Vanquish pointed out). That just seems like too rare an occurrence to be making our turn decision based on that.