$25 NLHE Full Ring: Rush.Strange river with bottom set/deepish.

S93

S93

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$25 NL HE Full Ring: Rush.Strange river with bottom set/deepish.

Rush and stats hadnt popped up yet.
I do know UTG+2 is your typical weak/tight reg but CO is unknown during this hand.

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HAND 1
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$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
Poker Tools by Stoxpoker - Hand Details


CO: $32.94 (131.8 bb)
BTN: $41.74 (167 bb)
Hero (SB): $35.98 (143.9 bb)
BB: $29.70 (118.8 bb)
UTG+1: $12.47 (49.9 bb)
UTG+2: $63.43 (253.7 bb)
MP1: $26.09 (104.4 bb)
MP2: $15.47 (61.9 bb)
MP3: $18.53 (74.1 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with 2 2
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, 3 folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN folds, Hero completes, BB checks

Flop: ($1) K 2 A (4 players)
Hero bets $0.75, BB folds, UTG+2 calls $0.75, CO calls $0.75

Turn: ($3.25) 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $2.50, UTG+2 calls $2.50, CO calls $2.50

River: ($10.75) T (3 players)
Hero bets $7.25, UTG+2 raises to 61.93 and is all-in, CO calls 29.44, Hero is totatly confused but dares not think of folding cause he has da set.

So what are villains ranges?
 
polakpoker4

polakpoker4

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Looks to me like UTG could be slowplaying AA/KK here or maybe AK that's about all I see him taking this line with... CO is wider IMO probably aces up, QJ if hes bad enough. I think it's a flip between calling and folding cause I think it's super close. I'm just spitballing so I could be way off lol
 
cucumber_pandas

cucumber_pandas

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Id fold. One of them always has QJ here.
 
NineLions

NineLions

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Weak/tight = inclined to fold but also to call hoping he's best/slowplay? If he's really weak pre it might be AA/KK that he was hoping for a later raise to shove over preflop, and it didn't happen so now he's going to slowplay. Or AK that he's now panicing since the Ten came. Against just him I'm inclined to call, but the other player in increases the chance that one of them has QJ/AA/KK, though since he's in position his range all the way down is probably wider than UTG+2.

Paralysis by analysis; I dunno = :)
 
S93

S93

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Weak/tight = inclined to fold but also to call hoping he's best/slowplay? If he's really weak pre it might be AA/KK that he was hoping for a later raise to shove over preflop, and it didn't happen so now he's going to slowplay. Or AK that he's now panicing since the Ten came. Against just him I'm inclined to call, but the other player in increases the chance that one of them has QJ/AA/KK, though since he's in position his range all the way down is probably wider than UTG+2.

Paralysis by analysis; I dunno = :)
Looking at his stats he is a 17/10/1.5, but i didnt have thouse during the hand since PT3 decites to crap out every few hands during rush.
What i did know was i had him colour coded as a reg,and my note just said "tight passive set mining reg". Just meaning he plays alot, runs somewhere from 8/8-20/20 and is passive postflop.
 
NineLions

NineLions

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Looking at his stats he is a 17/10/1.5, but i didnt have thouse during the hand since PT3 decites to crap out every few hands during rush.
What i did know was i had him colour coded as a reg,and my note just said "tight passive set mining reg". Just meaning he plays alot, runs somewhere from 8/8-20/20 and is passive postflop.

None of that helps then in this case. You have the only logical set mine, I assume he's more the type to call with some weakish Ace to see if he's good rather than to raise, and not necessarily likely to chase a gutshot with unders.

But he open limped from early preflop, making AK unlikely from anyone who might be any kind of reg, making AT more likely, imho, though the river shove still seems weird.

The only other one might be AA that he was hoping someone would raise preflop so he could re-raise or trap IP if the raise comes from the blind, but given the tightness of RP and the lack of reads this seems even a worse play than in normal situations.

The third unknown player is still another problem.
 
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baudib1

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In game I'd have a hard time but in reality this is a fold. When not one but two unknowns start to totally go berserk after you've shown strength on three streets, you have to think at least one of them has the nuts somehow.
 
S93

S93

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So far it seems like in this spot people think its a fold in a vacum but you probably click call at the table alot, seem about right?

Any way how much does this change if the CO folds river and where just facing the UTG+2 jam?
 
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