$25 NLHE Full Ring: QQ Squeeze. UTG x/ships flop

pocketehs

pocketehs

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think this is a sick line by UTG. question is can we fold?

PokerStars - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): $25.00
BTN: $25.68 (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 10)
SB: $8.00 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
BB: $11.10 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 100.00, Hands: 6)
UTG: $25.00 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
UTG+1: $14.49 (VPIP: 26.92, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 26)
MP: $8.54 (VPIP: 58.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Q:spade: Q:club:

UTG raises to $1.00, fold, MP calls $1.00, Hero raises to $3.50, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $2.50, MP calls $2.50

Flop: ($10.85, 3 players) 8:club: 3:spade: 7:heart:
UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets $6.25, UTG raises to $21.00, fold,
 
S

ScottishMatt

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4X it preflop. Tis' a squeeze spot so we should size larger.


Can't give him KK (if he has it then WP to the turdface****muncher). AA is the likeliest hand that has you crushed here. If he can have a set then he can also have TT/JJ that can play this way. I don't think I find a fold vs an unknown, we just don't have enough information to make a fold like this IMO.

Edit - scratch that, I was basing my analysis on only his play vs you and not taking into consideration the fish in MP. Makes it highly unlikely he has a bluff here. With the fish most likely calling behind preflop I think he feels he can setmine here with any PP and show a profit. Because he isn't closing the action I gotta feel he is pure valuetowning you here. I think I fold now after some more thought.
 
B

baudib1

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Call. If he has a hand better than QQ here then he played it pretty piss poorly. People sure suck at poker so yeah he could have you beat but to make a mistake this ginormous is pretty impressive; we'll get it back.
 
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swingro

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I do not understand what he could have. Not because I cannot put him on a range. He made it 4BB preflop. People do not do that with a small pp. But the flat OOP after the 3-bet says exactly the opposite. He knew the fish after him will be calling most likely.
So the question is. Would he play like this with 99,TT,JJ?
 
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micromoi

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it is a call for me he hasn't AA or KK he did not 4bet preflop. he have pretty much 99, 10, or JJ, and if he hits a set thats poker and better luck next time but it's a call for me.
 
ElmarLCH

ElmarLCH

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I think he hits his set. I don't see him raising with 99/1010/JJ after calling down a 3bet. He thinks you either have AA/KK/QQ or AK/AQ.
The reason why he bet 4 times the BB is very logical. He just wanted to show strenght to protect his marginal hand. He hopes he gets called by a big ace and hit a low flop. He just made an error with calling your 3bet. That seems to make more sense to me than raising all in with nines or tens after calling a 3bet.
 
N

nuts30

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4bet allin. he has pocket par 99 1010 or JJ
 
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baudib1

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here's a hint: if you have a hand that beats QQ in this spot you should lead the flop to trap the fish in, not try to blow him out of the pot.
 
H

Henreiman

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Pretty easy snap call. Sets call post, AA/KK should be repopping pre. Looking 100% to me like 9s-JJ or even 910 trying to get you off AK/AQ/AJ or random squeezing hands.
 
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