$25 NLHE Full Ring: JJ MP To Value Bet River Or Not ??

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem (9 players)
SB: $12.60
BB: $22.51 VPIP 36 PRF 3% AGG 2.0 HANDS 33
UTG: $26.30
UTG+1: $25 (sitting out)
MP: $28.72
MP+1 Hero: $41.50
MP+2: $5.94
CO: $10.13 VPIP 42% PFR 11% AGG 2.3 HANDS 62
BTN: $48.51

Pre-flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP+1 and dealt
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.85, MP+2 folds, CO calls $0.85, 2 folds, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.65) (4 players)
BB bets $0.25, Hero raises to $2.35, CO calls $2.35, BB calls $2.10

Turn: ($9.70) (4 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7, CO folds, BB calls $7

River: ($23.70) (3 players)
BB checks, Hero ,He has $12.31 left and i have him covered Would you Value bet this River since he checked and for how much??

If, in your opinion, AT, KT etc would call then yes, i'd bet.

I'd try and bet an amount that would get calls from worse parts of his range, Theres lots of worse T's that will call and i think if we bet small enough he may also call with 66-99 depending on how bad he is.

I'm not sure if we should just put him all in and get called by worse T's which i think he would do, or if we should bet something like $7 and hope to get calls off these worse T's and worse pocket pairs... Either way i like the way you played it if you bet the river

shove

baudib1 said:

shove

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+1

WVHillbilly said:

+1

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+2 ship it, i'm assuming you set up the stacks for this river shove anyway and its like half pot.. get it in, nh btw

bet less on turn, shove river

i think turns fine, i like 7 into 10 for value

acky100 said:

i think turns fine, i like 7 into 10 for value

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It commits us no matter what river card. We want to be able to fold to a river bet.

duggs said:

bet less on turn, shove river

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HUh? to let shortstack Behind me stay and catch or???? Nah i'm making shorty commit all his chips on turn is what i was thinking at the time

I play the same and shove the river. Tx is still going to call for a half pot bet most the time and QT/sets is all we fear.

A4 also

shove. A lot of that type will call with worse. Even worse than Tx. I do expect you to get a lot of folds so if he folded dont think you made a mistake. players like him love to call to hit their miracle card and if that Q wasnt it they will just fold no matter what.

What do you do if he ships it instead of checking on the river?

call ldo

jordanbillie said:

What do you do if he ships it instead of checking on the river?

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Fold. The flop was dry so there are little to no busted draws, Tx rarely does this, and villain appears passive.

We're being laid great odds and fish can do weird stuff like do this with AK or not feel comfortable check/folding 34 but this is a 36/3 they're about as aggressive as my nan and are not turning a hand into a bluff the 25% of the time we need imo.

For how much? Allin of course

+1 to shoving the river. We get calls from so many hands that we beat that I'd hate to miss out on value here.