$25 NLHE Full Ring: Flopped the nuts. C bet?

No Brainer

No Brainer

Losing keeps me sane
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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 15/12/3.4

Villain is a good player and has a 54% fold to c bet over a decent sample.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($36.28)
BB ($63.49)
UTG ($51.60)
UTG+1 ($55.60)
UTG+2 ($32.54)
MP1 ($40.14)
Hero ($64.47)
BTN ($26.55)

Dealt to Hero T 9

fold, fold, fold, MP1 raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $2

FLOP ($6.75) Q 8 J

MP1 Checks, Hero ??
 
J

JMcCabe

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You have a big hand. You want to build a big pot. Checking the flop makes it very hard to do that.

It also looks mighty strange if you 3bet preflop and then don't follow through with a cBet on the flop here. How actively have you been 3betting? What does he perceive your 3bet range to be?

What do you think his 3bet calling range is OOP? Most likely something that's hit this board, so punish him with your nuts. :)

If his calling range is only low/mid pocket pairs and he's only observed you 3betting a very narrow range, a check will probably induce action from lesser hands on the turn, especially if he puts you on a scared AK or 99/TT.

But overall, I'd say cbetting is the way to go here. Your hand is well hidden and you want to get as much money in the middle as possible.
 
LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

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This flop hits his range super hard but you hit it best so putting money in the pot is the way to go. He's likely to call a bunch and we can build the pot with the nuts.

I don't like checking back because I don't know what he likes on the turn that he doesn't like now.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Absolutely bet. Drawy board, vulnerable hand, bet & fist pump.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Definite cbet. How much action can we really expect if he completely whiffed anyway? Bet and build that pot.
 
No Brainer

No Brainer

Losing keeps me sane
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This flop hits his range super hard but you hit it best so putting money in the pot is the way to go. He's likely to call a bunch and we can build the pot with the nuts.

This is exactly what I found when reviewing the hand. Of course I got all spazzy and checked it back:stupid:
 
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