Originally Posted by Pafkata
Most people call with sets and I doubt this particular TAG opponent will try to scare you out if he had a set.
He probably had KJ or QT for an OESD. Or he simply read your bet as very weak and tried to bluff you out... 1.50 in 2.35 does not feel like you really like the flop.
I am not folding TPTK on dry flops like this one. Why did you decide to give up ?
Sorry; I didn't realize I left that fold in. Basically because 1) I have TPTK OOP and this pot has the potential to get bigger than I want, and 2) he's not overly aggressive postflop so there's a higher likelihood that this means a hand, and 3) he's IP so he gets to control pot size. I agree that this opponent is probably smart enough to flat sets here, or maybe minraise, which is why the size of his raise and the fact that he raised at all had me scratching my head.
I tend to overdo using exploitable bet sizing, not expecting anyone to pick up on it at 25nl, so the flop bet is undersized encouraging a paired Jack or middle pair to call, not expecting a decent sized raise.
I don't have a lot of hands on this opponent; this session is the first time I've run across him, though he was on at least two of my tables. Something like 80 hands or so.