$25 NLHE Full Ring: AJs HU in pos ???

ALL IN CLUBS

ALL IN CLUBS

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$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem (9 players)
SB: $41.91
BB: $41.50
UTG: $36.85 vpip 16% PFR ep13% AGG 3.7 HANDS 1,400 folds to 3bets 50%
UTG+1: $25 (sitting out)
MP: $51.68
MP+1: $25 (sitting out)
MP+2: $25
CO: $57.98
BTN Hero: $25.48

Pre-flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN and dealt :jh4: :ah4:
UTG raises to $0.70, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.70, BB folds

Flop: ($1.75) :2h4: :jd4: :qh4: (4 players)
UTG bets $1.31, Hero raises to $5.68, UTG raises to $36.15 (All-in), Hero Should we 3bet him pre?? On flop should we flat pot control or raise like i did and now what his agg is (3.7)??
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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I'd flat the flop, otherwise, NH.
 
acky100

acky100

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Do we call the 3bet C9?

Dont like the flop raise against this guy, he's probably quite a bit tighter from UTG so all we're gonna do is fold like TT,99 maybe AK. But hands he will continue with he'll play fast and hard and we only have like 11 outs.

Hmm, he's never gonna be bluffing here so as it stands we're usually clearly beat here. but if i've worked the pot odds out correctly we need to win 42% of the time to call it off, and with 11 outs we will win just over 42% so i guess it's really close, so we should call...
 
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BlueNowhere

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Do we call the 3bet C9?

Dont like the flop raise against this guy, he's probably quite a bit tighter from UTG so all we're gonna do is fold like TT,99 maybe AK. But hands he will continue with he'll play fast and hard and we only have like 11 outs.

Hmm, he's never gonna be bluffing here so as it stands we're usually clearly beat here. but if i've worked the pot odds out correctly we need to win 42% of the time to call it off, and with 11 outs we will win just over 42% so i guess it's really close, so we should call...

eh??? $19.10 left behind and $32.21 in pot, it's a snap call and not close.
 
acky100

acky100

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Ok i messed up the pot odds, it's a call for sure as we need to win 38% of the time to breakeven - but it doesn't look like a fist pump situation really, we only have a bit more than 40%ish equity if none of our hearts are taken. Pretty close if you ask me.
 
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BlueNowhere

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Yea it's not fist pump time but I don't think it's close between folding and calling.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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C9 you flat the flop and chk call the trn ??
We're in position, so what I do on the turn depends on what he does. But I'd consider turning second pair into a bluff if a king rolls off. But yeah, otherwise I'm just drawing on the cheap.
 
ben_rhyno

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Agree with c9 flat flop evaluate turn but raise/calling off with mid pair + NFD + BD GS is also fine.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
58,410 games 0.043 secs 1,358,372 games/sec
Board: Kh 2h Jd
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.009% 60.78% 00.23% 35501 134.50 { AhJh }
Hand 1: 38.991% 38.76% 00.23% 22640 134.50 { JJ+, 22, AQs+, ATs, KTs+, QJs, AQo, KQo, QJo }


or even:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
9,900 games 0.000 secs 1,980,000 games/sec
Board: Kh 2h Jd
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.136% 42.12% 00.02% 4170 1.50 { AhJh }
Hand 1: 57.864% 57.85% 00.02% 5727 1.50 { QQ-JJ, 22 }
we have 42% vs sets only
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Agree with c9 flat flop evaluate turn but raise/calling off with mid pair + NFD + BD GS is also fine.
Even though we have the equity, we don't really have much fold equity against a tighter guy like this on a super wet board. Its fine, not a big mistake, but less profitable IMO.
 
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