re: Poker & $25 NLHE Full Ring: 55 SB Multipot And deepstacked
Im going to take the other side and show my reasons to fold.
First we have the worst overpair on a 2 flush flop with a oesd. What are our outs if we are behind? I think an A is an out and probably a 6. Clubs are dirty so we have 6 awesome outs. A 5 isnt an out imo because with super big vpips, these guys will have every ace in both their range so that 5 gives them a straight more often than not.
Now if we call, most cards are going to be a bad card for us. The only cards that would be great are 666, AAA. Cards that might be ok are 44, 333, 222. No one will improve very often if those come down.
So lets call and a bad card comes, we will have to fold to a bet here and chances are they wont be xing it down to the river for a free showdown.
Lets say we hit our awesome outs. A 6 or A comes on the turn. Do you think even bad players will stack off with worse hands an a 234A or 2346 board? I think the chances of them folding is much higher when the money really starts getting in.
So basically we dont have many outs and not very good implied odds. We might have the best hand but far too often a bad card will come and because theres 2 others in the pot, theres a good chance they will already have something or hit the turn. If we hit our 6 clean outs, we probably wont be getting paid off because the board is very scary and even the worst players dont stack off too light on a 4 straight board.