$25 NLHE Full Ring: 3bet blind defense, double barrel bet sizing

$25 NL HE Full Ring: 3bet blind defense, double barrel bet sizing

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 50/33/0.5

Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP3: $1.50 (6 bb)
CO: $9.55 (38.2 bb)
BTN: $22.42 (89.7 bb)
SB: $21.02 (84.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $23.97 (95.9 bb)
UTG+2: $3.65 (14.6 bb)
MP1: $6.10 (24.4 bb)
MP2: $19.52 (78.1 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BB with 7 9
5 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $3.25, BTN calls $2.50

Flop: ($6.60) 3 2 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $4.25, BTN calls $4.25

Turn: ($15.10) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $8.75


Super small sample but over 21 hands he has stolen 100% both my blinds and I was getting sick of it lol. Over the 10 hands he played he only went to showdown twice so I thought that as long as he didn't have AQ I could get him off. Once he flatted the turn I put him on a medium pocket pair/big ace=/=AQ. He had about ~$14 in his stack on turn.

This I believe is a huuuge leak of mine that was fortunately not too damaging at 10nl considering the smaller stakes and how much less often I attempted this, but I want to make sure that I have the right idea about blind defense before I eventually make the move to 25nl (I mainly opened up the table to check out my new table mod, which is awesome btw)

i'm not crazy about the second barrel. if he floated w/ any A-highs he turned at least a draw and a 50/33 at 25NL might not let it go for that price. and the 5 is a turn that all his pocket pairs like. if he has a PP theres a good chance he'll look for any excuse to put you on AK or whatever as opposed to an overpair/TPTK. also stacks aren't good, it doesn't set up to where you can really barrel the river even if you wanted to, and that's even with you betting the turn tiny

i just think that's not a good barrel card against someone who's really likely to be a bad player. i'd almost always barrel a K, J, T, probably an A even though i think he'll have A high decently often (just based on there being so many more combos of Ax hands he has preflop than pocket pair hands, and that i'd guess he'll float with those on that board kinda often)

a player like this isnt going to fold a mid pair after that turn and the 5 gives any A an excuse to get it in. its just not the greatest card to do put in a second barrell

Well then there's another leak. I defo need to work on cardbarreling selection.

What of thesizes though? Assuming the turn was a K or J?

i dunno, the thing is that it's not a spot where you'd have to plan your turn size out based on what pot-to-stack ratio will be on the river. stacks just aren't deep enough to 3barrel. so whatever you bet, on say a K or J, you're giving up the river if called anyway

which means the only thing to think about with bet-sizing here is what you think gives you the best immediate price-to-how often he folds ratio. on a K or J i'd barrel pretty small, probably near the size you made it is good. because like i said, i think he can easily have just A high. and it shouldn't take too much to get a hand like 88 out on a Q32K board, even if he's bad. you just gotta target your size to how strong you think your opponent's range is/what will scare him, stuff like that

on the other hand i guess you could argue for a $10 bet because it might look scarier to him than 8 or 9 and it makes you look like you're completely committed. but since you have close to no equity when shoved on, you obviously wouldnt be. it's always hard to say if the extra $1.25 or whatever gets enough extra folds to justify spending it. it's more an art than a science