Originally Posted by blueskies
He's probably not letting that go unless you shove it. Once he calls the flop bet, you're toast. You tried to resteal and it didn't work. I would just check the turn and hope I hit a 7. Then fold to a river bet if I miss.
If you had AK or AQ here, what would you do? He's got something, but I've 3 bet preflop and he's just called preflop and on the flop, so his something could well be JJ/TT/99 and he's waiting to see what I do on the turn.
Originally Posted by Money11Charlie
sounds like some real savy poker players here at cardschat.I agree with blueskies.it looks like a very dominating board on just cathing a straight on fifth street.That is not a position you want to be in but if sense weakness just be patient.tough call and tough run to fifth street
I don't think we're hoping for anything on the river; our hand was almost entirely a bluff from the beginning, done so because our opponent steals often so his range of hands is wide when he raises preflop. We might have caught something nice with it on the flop, but we didn't, so we need to rep a big hand as long as is reasonable to pressure him. I think his call of the 3 bet is likely a bad one if he's unsure of where he is because he's check/calling, or, he's slowplaying a pretty big hand; a made flush or AA/KK/AK. There are a lot more weak Ace and King and medium pocket pair hands that are in his range than just the big hands.
This is $25nl so some players think a little more than $10nl, but less than $100nl, both of which I've played. I think the fact that he steals often indicates he understands position which might be an indicator that he can call the flop with QQ/JJ/TT/99/KQ but will read my "hand" and fold to another bet.
As it turned out, a off-suit J came on the river, a yucky card, but after we both checked the turn (me feigning being afraid of the flush) and he didn't bet the river, I made a "value bet" of half pot. He tanked and folded.
But I'm more inclined now to be the turn and fold river, though waiting for a non-spade to come on the river (if he had a single spade) and his check gave me additional information. I also didn't like the idea of betting the turn if he had a spade and then having to consider firing again into a bigger pot on the river if a non-spade came.