$25 NLHE 6-max: Very tight spot
Found myself in a crazy spot playing 6 max, 0.10/0.25 NL.
Had QQ on the button. UTG opens 3xBB, I 3-bet to 11xBB, villain in the Big Blind 4-bets to 20xBB. Big blind now has effectively 80xBB behind. I have him covered.
I flat for 9xBB more, making it a 43xBB pot.
Flop is disconnected low cards, with two clubs on the board.
My villain leads out for 32xBB, leaving him basically a half pot bet behind. I tank and call.
Turn card is a brick.
Villain jams for 48xBB. I call.
Did I play this hand well, or misplay it?
I think because I put in a decent sized 3-bet, the min 4-bet is very odd. Usually a min 4-bet is a very strong hand, like AA, KK, or AKs. Particularly from OOP. But because my raise was sizable I felt like AA and KK would usually be raising more to try to get stacks in on the flop. So I think AK is the most likely hand. But I am also considering hands like TT, JJ, and the other QQ to be possibilities. It just felt slightly weak to me - like something that had value, but not as much confidence as AA or KK.
The flop is overall pretty dry. And I feel like villain is likely to C-Bet 100% of his range here. I ultimately decided to flat call because if I jam here I think the only things calling me are AA, KK, AK clubs, and the unlikely JJ or TT that may be in his range. So I feel like I'm getting called by better most of the time. My concern is that I feel like AK is usually going to shut down on the turn so if I face a turn bet I'm in a real tough spot. I kind of decide that I'm going all the way with this hand, and if I flat the flop rather than jamming, there's a few more hands that I may be beating that I could be up against if villain shoves the turn.
Turn bricks, and sure enough he puts the stack in. So now, I figure if he does have TT or JJ or QQ, all of which is possible but fairly unlikely, he might know he's going with it and would prefer to be the aggressor. But I don't love my spot because I think AK usually gives up - so I'm basically beating the AK of clubs, and the unlikely smaller pair. He's played the hand like AA/KK with an odd trappy min-bet. But at this point I'm getting like 3.6:1 on a call so I go for it. I don't have to be right all that often for this to be profitable.
My issue is, objectively, I find it hard to tell if and where I made a mistake.