$25 NLHE 6-max: TPWK against

$25 NLHE 6-max: TPWK against loose guy

Full Tilt - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (BTN): $31.34
SB: $29.14
BB: $25.01
UTG: $25.58
MP: $17.73
CO: $30.17

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A:club: 9:club:

UTG calls $0.25, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.25, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.00

Flop: ($2.85, 2 players) 3:spade: K:club: A:diamond:
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.00, UTG calls $2.00

Turn: ($6.85, 2 players) 7:diamond:
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.00, UTG calls $5.00

River: ($16.85, 2 players) 6:spade:
UTG checks, Hero ???

so villain is a 48/8/45afq his fold to cbet is 50% (6/12), not enough hands for turn fcbet. Should I still be value betting the river here?

It's close but I check it back. A 48/8 has some AT/AJ in his UTG limp-call range, not sure you're getting 3 streets from A8/A5/KQ.

I'd be betting the turn but checking back the river unimproved. If he folds the turn I've still won a decent size pot for my hand and he can call so many draws to make a turn bet profitable if called.

I'd bet more on the flop though say 2.40-250

b/f small enough that he'll look you up with his Kx hands. Something like $6.