$25 NLHE 6-max: rush, opponents range? river decision?

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gAsheks

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Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 6 Players

SB: $40.62 (162.5 bb)
BB: $24.55 (98.2 bb)
UTG: $25.10 (100.4 bb)
MP: $5.20 (20.8 bb)
CO: $29.60 (118.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $26.33 (105.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5
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5
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UTG raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.85) 4
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7
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T
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(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.20, UTG calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.25) 9
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(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.10, UTG calls $5.10

River: ($14.45) K
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(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ??

Info on villain:
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On flop I wanted to take down the pot since he doesn't show interest in it. He has low cbet, but i expect him to bet Tx+.

Once he check/calls it looks weakish. Decided to put pressure on him. The question would be, whats our opponents check/calling range on turn given our play?

Whats our best decision on such river?
 
JOEBOB69

JOEBOB69

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88 ? Maybe AJ(but doubt it) is all i see.
$10.50 on river
 
H

hffjd2000

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Check for me. Seems he will not go away even if you bluff on the river. Remember he called your overbet turn.

My thought is I know Im beat and he will not go away even if I bet twice the pot.
 
hashtag

hashtag

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35 WTSD is high enough and he probably doesn't need much reason to call. 18% RFI range has lots of broadways in it so that K on the river definitely is not helpful. I'd say a possible flush draw with overcards is keeping him in the hand. This is a check for me.
 
G

gAsheks

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Thanks for replies guys. Really appreciate it.

I like that we have different opinions here.

Wanted to bet that river, but the problem is that he is going to showdowns quite often plus due to his low cbet we cant exclude some slowplays. Once he called overbet it was some alarming bells to me so i checked back river. Not sure its a great decision, because K seems a good scare card.

Do we expect this guy to cbet FD`s?
 
hashtag

hashtag

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Hey gAsheks, only if you have read/info on villain can you say he bets FDs. In this case he was just checking and calling which seems to indicate he was waiting to catch something as well. If he was slow playing, he would have bet first on the river instead of checking again, I think.
 
John A

John A

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You don't really have enough info to know what his true WTSD rate is. It's quite high right now, but it could normalize over a larger sample.

Any ways, once you over bet the turn and you're called I wouldn't try and bluff the river. Just hope he is bad and has a flush draw or something redonkulously bad.
 
JOEBOB69

JOEBOB69

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You don't really have enough info to know what his true WTSD rate is. It's quite high right now, but it could normalize over a larger sample.

Any ways, once you over bet the turn and you're called I wouldn't try and bluff the river. Just hope he is bad and has a flush draw or something redonkulously bad.
What's his range John? It's got to be leaning towards 88/AJ.
 
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