$25 NLHE 6-max: Rivered Straight on Gross Board

$25 NL HE 6-max: Rivered Straight on Gross Board

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 19/13/3.2

Have like 1.2k hands on villain. No real history between us and he's obviously not thinking on a really high level. I've been playing fairly laggy this session, like 27/27 at this table though I doubt he notices. Don't think I've seen him cold call a 3-bet in the past so not sure quite what to make of it. I figure once he calls the C-bet he most likely has AK or like TT-QQ but I'm probably way off. Clear fold, clear call, punch the monitor, kill a kitten?

CO was a stupid lag who plays horribly post-flop btw.

poker stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $25 (100 bb)
CO: $63.45 (253.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $31.85 (127.4 bb)
SB: $34.65 (138.6 bb)
BB: $26.35 (105.4 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with 9 T
2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB calls $2.25, CO calls $1.75

Flop: ($7.60) K 2 2 (3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $4.50, BB calls $4.50, CO folds

Turn: ($16.60) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($16.60) J (2 players)
BB bets $19.35 and is all-in, Hero throws up a little

I think they have AK!
No I don't think they have AK I just know, I am that good!

snap call, he has a,k/aces here more often than qq,jj imo

I call, but im not happy about it. Expect it to be a high variance play but profitable long term. I just dont see him checking QQ on turn, nor flatting kk from the blinds. the only real hand i see him flatting that beats us is JJ, which i play exactly like this if im flatting from the blinds (which i almost never do btw, for sure not vs a lag)

But thats one hand, and even if he only does it with precisely AK, AA, and JJ then we profit.

Do bad TAGs really value shove AA/AK here?

yes, they were probablyt planning on check/calling on turn for stacks, but are just shoving now for what they think is value

I'd snap shove AA for value here, and I think we should be breaking our fingers calling. Don't fold near nuts in 3-bet pots.

if you are going to 3-bet 9t preflop and c-bet flop multiway you MUST call as played. he can put you on a very weak hand right now, like a medium pocket pair, AQ or whatever, making a value shove. He could also have KQ/KJ thinking that a higher king like AK will lose here. unless he has quads or a softly played KK-JJ you should be more than fine.

I call this hand for the same reasons as stated above. He also might have interpreted your turn check back as weak and fired for value

FWIW killing a kitten was a close second