$25 NLHE 6-max: River 4x pot losing value?

Blobweird123

Blobweird123

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Ok so yeah HH is a little retarded, but its Bovada and I can't convert the hand into PT4 for another 24 hours so by then i'd forget lol

Anyway, on the turn I figure we are most likely beat. Not much floats here besides As/Js. So with that said, on the river is it not profitable to just overship here? Like anything that's folding, will fold regardless, and I don't see him getting here with a weak diamond that will call a super small bet. So basically I have him down to air or AsXx or JsXx. So good spot for it? AsXx pretty much never folds, and JsXx im not so sure about. Thoughts?
 

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Matt Vaughan

Matt Vaughan

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Seems optimistic - I probably bet an amount he can call off with a weakish diamond, but will raise over with AdXx..
 
John A

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Fyi, you actually mean Ad, or Jd, no As or Js. It's pretty clear in this hand, but I was tired and had to re-read it because of that. :)

Any ways, Ad doesn't raise the flop at these stakes? I think he either flopped a small flush and cursed the turn or has Tx or mid pair with a d. I think even some Ad folds when you over shove this large, but the amount of times you need to get paid versus the % of the time you get paid on a smaller bet is probably in favor of the smaller bet in this case. Maybe someone could do some math on it.
 
Blobweird123

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Fyi, you actually mean Ad, or Jd, no As or Js. It's pretty clear in this hand, but I was tired and had to re-read it because of that. :)

Any ways, Ad doesn't raise the flop at these stakes? I think he either flopped a small flush and cursed the turn or has Tx or mid pair with a d. I think even some Ad folds when you over shove this large, but the amount of times you need to get paid versus the % of the time you get paid on a smaller bet is probably in favor of the smaller bet in this case. Maybe someone could do some math on it.

Meant As as in A suited. Wasnt being suit-specific. Bu t yeah Ad should raise flop but regardless I think we miss value here when we don't shove. But yeah math would help :)
 
Deco

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Villains very unlikely to hold a strong hand here so I prefer betting small.
 
Blobweird123

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So ultimately I guess not favored by the masses.
 
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