re: Poker & $25 NLHE 6-max: right play against this villain type
Originally Posted by acky100
Originally Posted by youregoodmate
Yep 22-66 definitely do not do well to 3 bet... enjoy seeing 3 overcards
Acky i completely disagree. How is 3b bluffing with Axs, Kxs > 3b bluffing with low PPs ever?
If villain is folding to a lot of 3bets, we should be 3betting a polarised range of value hands and air.
2 suited cards flop a flush draw 1/9 times. hand then has an 18% chance per street post flop to improve to a flush.
Compare that with a PP. They flop sets, what, ~1/7.5 times. hand is instantly nutted when it does. no need to draw, and its very well disguisted- meaning we have a better chance of being paid off.
So applying this to a shorthanded, 25NL game, we are OOP with one of 2 3b bluffing type hands.
1. We 3bet bluff Axs/Kxs:
We flop a FD less often that wed flop a set. Say we do flop a FD. we make a standard Cbet and villain;
a) folds. Awesome, but super unlikely vs his tight calling vs 3b range.
b) calls. Turn comes down blank. Now what? We have to shove imo or prepare to x3 barrel. But neither of these are really good options unless we have a solid read that were being floated, because vils call 3b range is so tight, and even tighter once hes called the flop barrel.
c) raises. We have to fold or shove. If we shove, we only get called by hands that crush us, and we have very low fold equity vs a villain that is tight calling 3bets, and then willing to raise a flop.
Im of the opinion that firing a Cbet when we miss the flop vs this villain type is -EV cos were getting called more often than not. When hand gets checked down like this, we lose w/ a worse A high.
Alternatively, we flop a pair with our A, K, or raggy x. What the fk do we do now? A villiain whose folding to a lot of 3bets pre will have a positionally dependent continuing vs 3b range of like TT+, AQs+, AK. So not only are we dominated on that board generally, but weve forced ourselves to playing into a range crushing us when were OOP.
2. We 3bet bluff 22-66:
We flop a set more often than a FD. If we make our set, were most certainly firing a Cbet off, villain;
a) folds. Not at all likely. his range is super strong.
b) calls. We can happily barrel every street and were good here virtually always.
c) raises. We can get it in happily and virtually always ahead.
When we miss our set and hand happens to get checked down were taking the pot most times because were up against A high.
in addition to this, there are wayyyy less combos of 22-66 than Axs/Kxs, so our 3b range will be a ton more balanced.