$25 NLHE 6-max: QQ Preflop vs 5bet

Deco

Deco

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$25 NL HE 6-max: QQ Preflop vs 5bet

This is probably obvious but my last session was pretty devoid of interesting hands so I just want to make sure.

BB is Unknown
UTG: 33/14/37 3bet=4% (200 hands)

CO: $27.14 (108.6 bb)
BTN: $21.41 (85.6 bb)
Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
BB: $10 (40 bb)
UTG: $32.37 (129.5 bb)
MP: $43.56 (174.2 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB raises to $10 and is all-in, UTG raises to $17.50
 
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blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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i fold. it's tempting to look at 33/14 and see he's involved in quite a few pots, but the 14 matters a lot more than the 33 in this instance. 14% PFR is quite tight at 6max, and 4% 3bet is tight also, he's on the borderline of loose-passive imo. 200 hands is enough of a sample that i think you can be pretty confident his range here is AK, JJ+ with JJ being much less likely, weighted most strongly towards AA and KK. this isn't even factoring in BB. even if you have UTG beat somehow, BB could be the one with AA/KK

as i always say, sometimes they'll surprise you, but in the long run i think you're best off folding here
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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Folding is fine. Calling may not be very -EV if villain has AK in his range, but the only point of doing that would be to see villain's cards to have better notes on him, but thanks to BB we'll get to see them anyway.
 
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