$25 NLHE 6-max: LAG image vs small river raise

$25 NL HE 6-max: LAG image vs small river raise

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 17/14/2.4

I'm running 32/22, been cbetting 72%, image is obviously LAGgy. I'd think that villain flats very wide here. I've only have 30% success with cbets. I check the turn in hopes of getting one more bet on the river. When he raises me, I get a really bad feeling about it, but confused due to my image. I get a lot of people playing back at me kind of light.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($53.80)
BB ($25)
Hero ($56.85)
UTG+1 ($9.30)
CO ($24.85)
BTN ($40.20)

Dealt to Hero A:diamond: J:diamond:

Hero raises to $1, fold, CO calls $1, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($2.35) 8:diamond: 2:club: A:spade:

Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50

TURN ($5.35) 8:diamond: 2:club: A:spade: Q:spade:

Hero checks, CO checks

RIVER ($5.35) 8:diamond: 2:club: A:spade: Q:spade: 5:diamond:

Hero bets $3.50, CO raises to $8,Hero???

Villain fold to cbet is...?
I think its an easy fold for you on the river, i just dont see how it can be +EV to call here without some kine of a special read.

I don't recall atm what his fvcb stat was. Not with my comp right now. But a solid TAG flatting me kind of narrows his range. PP's, AK (if he doesn't 3bet it), AQs, prolly AQo v me, maybe AJs, he shouldn't flat SC's against me but he might anyway. SC's miss this hard, pp's that aren't sets I'm good against. Aces mostly beat me, and sets punch my face in.

I took this line to look bluffy. I cbet so often, so when I got flatted, it definitely could have been a float. So I check the turn to let him fire at it, planning to flat that, then bet river.

Instead he checks behind, so now it seems like he feels he has SD value, but not strong enough to want to fire.

To villian it looks like I cbet, gave up when I got called, then realized he didn't love his hand either, and perhaps I'm thinking I can take this away from him with a river bet.

If this is how he's thinking, then he should flat here rather wide, not raise. Bt he indeed raises. So now he either loves his hand (55?) or is this ever a bluff/turning a made hand into a bluff? I've seen lots of villains who turn hands into bluffs like this, so that's where the dillema came for me. If he'd make this raise with a smaller pair.

Pretty sure this is a fold. What range do you put him on that would take this line? All you really beat is bluffs.

Although I do think the line is correct. bet/folding here or turn would work. If you check you miss alot of value from weaker aces and maybe a few Queens that will call after you check turn.