Originally Posted by ScottishMatt
BB 3Bet calling range = JJ/QQ/AA/AK/AQs/TT possibly AJs
BB flop raising range = JJ/AKh/AQh/AA/ possibly AJh if he has it
BTN 3Bet calling range = suited broadways/non suited AQ and AK/every PP except KK/QQ
BTN flop raise calling range = anything that hits here but isn't 1 pair so FD/set
With you Cbetting after the cold call and then the cold caller raising BTN has to drop his 1P hands. Your only getting this in while being +EV if they both happen to have a FD and one is almost always paired with the J if they both do. I'm not bothering to run that into an equity calculator because OPvFDvFD+TP is such a rare occurrence given ranges that you have to fold anyway. Someone has a FD and someone has a set, almost always IMO. Possible even JJ vs 33/66.
You would also be decent if you are up against QQ from BB and FD from BTN. Still think it's a fold though as BTN should (and I like to think probably will) push all his FDs.
I think SB is more likely to have QQ then AA in this spot considering preflop action. I also think he could of called pre with any AJ suited but only raises heart variant on flop.
Originally Posted by Aces2w1n
Scots would fold ... id consider it..
There is fold equity there so flatting wil get u in... who cares if flush hits we can boat river and tripple up.
Thats my guessing if button has set... ignore the fish cuz he can have anything. Focus on the strong player if he wants u to fold he will raise.. wants u to call he will flat
Thats me puttinf myself in button shoes.
What do you think BB put in half of his stack with that he will fold if button ships it? Button is an aware player and probably knows if he ships it with a flush draw all he is doing is deterring me from putting more money in so shoving a draw is pointless. I suppose this gives him good reason to flat sets also so a good range for button is JJ, 66, 33, J10hh and nut flush draws and he probably has A2-A5s A10-AKs considering he has position and the price he was getting pre.
Button range: JJ, 66, 33, A2-A5s, A10-AKs, J10hh
BB range: JJ, QQ, AJhh-AKhh
Without a calc this looks like a GII spot