$25 NLHE 6-max: JJ oop in 3bet pot

J

js520

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This is $30 NLHE
Villain stats are 27/22, fold to 3bet 35%, fold to cbet 45% and AFq 52%. Stats are over 839 hands so he's a reg but I don't think he's a particularly good one, hes just a half decent player, never really seen too much out of the ordinary from him but he clearly doesn't like folding to 3bets.
(Note he hasn't quite got a full stack, I think he usually tops up when he goes below about $25)

888 Poker - $0.30 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (SB): $31.11
BB: $40.89
UTG: $31.47
MP: $16.67
CO: $30.31
BTN: $28.32

Hero posts SB $0.15, BB posts BB $0.30

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.45) Hero has Jd Jc

UTG calls $0.30, MP calls $0.30, fold, BTN raises to $1.65, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $2.85

Flop: ($9.90, 2 players) Tc Kh 8h
Hero bets $5.10, BTN calls $5.10

Turn: ($20.10, 2 players) 9d
Hero?

(we have $21.51 left and have him covered)
 
J

js520

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Don't know why I said how much I have on the turn when I have him covered, he had $18.72
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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I like c/c here.
 
frozensprx

frozensprx

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This is kind of a tricky spot, but since the board has a K and a T, and 2 hearts, there are enough broadway draws and flush draws that he would call with, so it doesn't mean he always has a king. And he is on the button so he could've just been making a standard raise and then didn't want to fold to 3bet, and picked up flush draw on flop.
 
OMGITSOVER9K

OMGITSOVER9K

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I like c/c here.

why? when he bets we're behind anyway and we throw away our FE (however small it may be) so shoving's probably better than c/c.

checking to hope he checks back and see rivers makes more sense but that means really we're c/f.

I probably shove in game, 99/88 are unlikely, TT and AK (AK probably 4bets pre) are the only realistic hands that beat us here imo + he has like suited broadways that we are still ahead of sometimes.

imo ship it, but i'm a spewtard.
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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I dont particulary want to fold given how loosely he'll call a 3 bet. If hes floated any broadway hands that missed then he may shove when we slow down. I think we're more likely to get stacks in against Tx by checking then shipping the river. When you say we lose our FE, what do we have FE from? Kx will call and anything worse we want a call from.

Didnt notice we had str draw, which tilts me towards a shove. If we didnt have extra outs vs a K then if prefer c/c.
 
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