$25 NLHE 6-max: Flop raise with air, Oppinions?

Lopos

Lopos

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$25 NL HE 6-max: Flop raise with air, Oppinions?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 25/20/2

IIRC, villain here is running about ~25/20. I feel like This is a prime spot to squeeze for him. I'm thinking He has a fairly wide range with that PF squeeze and due to stack sizes, I could sell pocket 8s, 9s, 10s, or Js with the overcall. Oppinions?

poker stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP: $30 (120 bb)
Hero (CO): $31.35 (125.4 bb)
BTN: $12.60 (50.4 bb)
SB: $45.95 (183.8 bb)
BB: $31.50 (126 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is CO with K
heart.gif
J
heart.gif

MP folds, Hero raises to $1, BTN folds, SB calls $0.90, BB raises to $4, Hero calls $3, SB folds

Flop: ($9) 7
spade.gif
3
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2
spade.gif
(2 players)
BB bets $6, Hero raises to $18
 
Deco

Deco

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The 3bet % would be handy but regardless I doubt KJs is good to call a 3bet with in 25NL very often.
Neither is a 3bet pot the place to make bluff raises when the villains range is going to have alot of overpairs in it.

I could be wrong pending the 3bet stat but I very much doubt it.
 
Lopos

Lopos

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I was posting his stats by memory, and I was way off.

After Checking my PT database he was actually running 34/30/3.33 and his 3betPF was 25% for that session.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Then this is okay. I'd kinda prefer a flop like Q23 or something dry with a high card, since like Deco says there are lots of pairs in his range. However, this particular player won't have as many pairs in his range since he 3-bets all sorts of random trash.
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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stacks actually make it a little gross if he shoves since you'll be getting nearly 5:1 on a call and against 4s, 5s, 6s, top pair, 8s, 9s, Ts you actually have way more than the right price, vs. his range it's probably close but i guess you can just fold. if a card on the flop was a heart it'd probably be a call (in which case i think it'd be better to just shove yourself if you're going to make a play, the only benefit to making it smaller would be to try to look stronger, but i hate letting aggro guys who probably aren't all that good think they have any sort of fold equity when i have K high)

anywayyyy, if it works enough to begin with, it will be more profitable than folding right away regardless of whether you call or fold to a shove. it's probably alright, you can sell a set or overpair. only problem is i'm not shocked when guys like this decide to shove with A2 or A3. something about having top kicker regardless of which pair seems to make people marry their hand. but he can have plenty of no-pair hands here so i think it's fine

one important stat you neglected is c-bet %. i'm assuming it's high, but there's a chance it's not. the higher it is the better the play is for the most part
 
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