$25 NLHE 6-max: bottom set on 762r, donk bet gets reraised

eNTy

eNTy

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$25 NL HE 6-max: bottom set on 762r, donk bet gets reraised

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 24/19/3

So yeah I just basically don't know how to continue.
I don't really want to flat because of any bad turn cards and repopping him is gonna look so extremely strong I'm afraid I won't get action.

72 hands and 33% raise cbet(3 hands) if that tells you anything.

MP: $11.08 (44.3 bb)
CO: $25.05 (100.2 bb)
BTN: $35.13 (140.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $33.90 (135.6 bb)
BB: $27.73 (110.9 bb)
UTG: $26.05 (104.2 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with 2:heart: 2:club:
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero completes, BB checks

Flop: ($0.75) 7:spade: 6:heart: 2:diamond: (3 players)
Hero bets $0.75, BB raises to $3, MP folds, Hero is torn
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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Just repop. He'll stack two pairs and draws and sometimes top pair and overpairs if he thinks you can make a play with a draw yourself.

you will scare some hands away, but you can also loose your customer to a lot of scare cards on the turn. Don't be fancy, imo.
 
eNTy

eNTy

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So reraising to say $10 is the best option ?
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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well, you can put a lot of caveats depending on particular history and table dynamics, but raising to an amount where it still looks like villain could have fold equity when he shoves is good, imo. $10 is fine here. i'd prefer slightly less if you were not 110bb deep, but here it's fine.
 
Blazing_Saddler

Blazing_Saddler

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I'm not sure I play these situations correctly, but I am just looking to get my chips in early here.

If he has air , he has air, and you probably wouldn't get another bet out of him anyway. You will be surprised what hands players will get attached to when they have invested some money in to a pot. I have seen players stack off with like 87 here, and 89.

There is a lot of talk about getting the most value out of your hands, and about thinking on multiple levels, which is all true, but I find at $25 NL unless you run in to the odd player that actually thinks about their play, you can't go far wrong with just value betting the life out of youR strong hands, and getting paid off a fair amount of the time.

I like the re pop of about $10 to go also.
 
eNTy

eNTy

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Repop it is.
Just for the record what kind of range are we putting him on ?
 
vanquish

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i like making it less than $10. you can make it like $7 to make it look bluffier and to make sure he calls. ur not gonna fold out anything with $7 that continues for $10, but you might keep in stuff for $7 that folds for $10.
 
eNTy

eNTy

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i like making it less than $10. you can make it like $7 to make it look bluffier and to make sure he calls. ur not gonna fold out anything with $7 that continues for $10, but you might keep in stuff for $7 that folds for $10.

Good point, and I agree for the most part.
But isn't it giving him too good of a price here if he does have a straightdraw ?
 
vanquish

vanquish

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Good point, and I agree for the most part.
But isn't it giving him too good of a price here if he does have a straightdraw ?

he has like 16% to hit an OESD so i'm pretty sure it's still fine
 
Q

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So pot odds 11.5 to 7 would need to make the hand 7/18.5 = 38% of the time. Figure the 2 to 1 rule of thumb. Need 19 outs to call. Is that how the villan would think with pot odds assuming he was on a draw?

Just asking cause I got it wrong the first time =)~ But the intuition is right. You bet equal to the pot or over it and your villan needs a minimum of 16 outs to call. (2 chips in the middle to every 1 chip to call) . Need to make the hand 1/3 = 33% of the time. Need bout 16 outs to make that right? Any pros agree: for most real hands it pretty much throws pot odds concerns out the window if you bet over the pot, they have to think they have you beat.
 
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