$25 NLHE 6-max: AQo: Is this a decent spot to float and bluff river?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 19/14/3.4

Villain is pretty good imo, 19/14 AF 3.4 over 318 hands, cbets 61% and double barrels 67%. I'm not an expert at analyzing HUD stats but my interpretation of this is that he does not have to have a K or J to fire this turn and I think aggro postflop players at this level really give it away when they have it by just mashing the bet-pot button.

I think I can profitably jam any A/Q/T/diamond river, his river bet seems like a blocker.

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($25.35)
UTG+1 ($26.98)
CO ($10)
Hero (BTN) ($25)
SB ($26.24)
BB ($27.53)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is BTN Q:heart: A:diamond:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.85, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.85, 2 folds

Flop: J:diamond: 4:diamond: J:heart: ($2.05, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

Turn: K:club: ($4.85, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $2.80, Hero calls $2.80

River: 6:diamond: ($10.45, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $4.75, Hero goes all-in $19.95

I actually think it's a great spot for it. You have the Ad so he has basically no flushes in his range (maybe 1 combo KQdd). I mean I assume you think he'll fold all his Kings to the shove. Do you think he ever folds a Jack? AA?

I don't think he folds a Jack, I wouldn't. But I think the thing that's interesting about his line is that it indicates he's a good player, regardless of whether he's barreling 44, Jx, AK, AA, AQ or 88.

I think bad players tend to get to this river and check and hope for a check behind to show down TT-AK and level themselves into calling against a flush.

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