$25 NLHE 6-max: AA Crappy River Spot

K

Kidsoldja

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
May 14, 2010
Total posts
46
Chips
0
$25 NL HE 6-max: AA Crappy River Spot

Villain just sat down, but he's a goldstar so i figure he's played a bit before.

NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Poker Stars
SB ($75.83)
BB ($16.40)
Hero ($27.16)
UTG+1 ($61.20)
CO ($34.78)
BTN ($47.64)

Dealt to Hero
as.gif
ad.gif


Hero raises to $1, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.75

FLOP ($2.10)
qh.gif
2h.gif
4c.gif


BB checks, Hero bets $1.65, BB calls $1.65

TURN ($5.40)
qh.gif
2h.gif
4c.gif
7s.gif


BB checks, Hero bets $3.75, BB calls $3.75

RIVER ($12.90)
qh.gif
2h.gif
4c.gif
7s.gif
kc.gif


BB bets $10 (AI),

I think KQ and sets of 2s/4s are in the value range of this shove...he might also be shoving some AJhh type hand...call or fold?
 
JimmyBrizzy

JimmyBrizzy

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 14, 2007
Total posts
916
Awards
1
Chips
1
I like larger bets on the flop and turn. There are a good amount of hands he can c/c with on the flop in particular since it's relatively harmless. He may choose to float a good amount of your cbets. When you increase both the flop and turn, hero/villian are getting prices that are hard to fold to on river.

By river there are something like 25+ combos that beat you, but I do find it weird that sets didn't check raise you at some point.

Hands that bluff here (even if they don't know they're bluffing) KJs or possibly a few other flush draws...JJ maybe if he's a spaz...maybe you could come up with 6-10 hands max? And again some of the missed FD's have to be discounted b/c he doesn't always bluff all-in with them when he misses on the river.

I think I lean towards a fold as played.
 
thepokerkid123

thepokerkid123

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Jul 31, 2009
Total posts
917
Chips
0
Only value hands that do this are KQ and AKs/KJs so exactly 11 combos.

He bluffs at this with exactly 0 if he knows what he's doing.

Sets and flush draws he intends to bluff with raise on the flop or turn. This is value or value.
 
LuckyChippy

LuckyChippy

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 28, 2009
Total posts
4,987
Chips
0
Only value hands that do this are KQ and AKs/KJs so exactly 11 combos.

He bluffs at this with exactly 0 if he knows what he's doing.

Sets and flush draws he intends to bluff with raise on the flop or turn. This is value or value.

I do agree it looks like value but surely he can play a flush draw like this? I'm not saying he is but it can't just be discounted?

EDIT: Obviously I mean AJ/Ts.
 
workinonit

workinonit

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
May 20, 2010
Total posts
138
Chips
0
I do agree it looks like value but surely he can play a flush draw like this? I'm not saying he is but it can't just be discounted?

I think it's pretty rare, like really rare

This is a spot where I always call knowing I'm ****ed lol, we only beat bluffs and he's not bluffing often
 
S

Skaplun

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Apr 30, 2010
Total posts
269
Chips
0
I'd like to point out that BB is playing 25NL for stacks ;)
his concept of ahead is different from your own.
He most likely has a Qx combo. Q2,4, or 7. this is not a line I have ever seen for for a set.
maybe a set of 7s that he called the flop and hit his jin card. thats 3 more combos.
36(correct math??) Q combos beat you here vs 110 we are ahead of.
I find it hard to analyze this hand really, just not a line I've ever seen... lol.
 
JimmyBrizzy

JimmyBrizzy

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 14, 2007
Total posts
916
Awards
1
Chips
1
Only value hands that do this are KQ and AKs/KJs so exactly 11 combos.

He bluffs at this with exactly 0 if he knows what he's doing.

Sets and flush draws he intends to bluff with raise on the flop or turn. This is value or value.

Yeah I thought more about this after i left for class. This is almost never a set the way it's played...still a fold though
 
Top