$25 NLHE 6-max: 3bet pot barreling but 3 flush river

bitowl

bitowl

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3bet AK in SB vs MP open, MP flats

flop: Ks5s8h

half pot cbet, call

turn: Ad

half pot cbet, call

river: 6s (flush draw got there)

we have a 2/3 pot size jam left. Is this a value jam? Axss and 8xss would make sense for villain to draw to the river. Villian is a decent russian reg, always online so isn't likely to have A8/A5 and not sure if he calls AQ assuming he floated flop. Any justification for bet folding like 1/3 pot?
 
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MinhANguyen

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Really gross spot. Not sure if any worse hands call our jam. One pair hands are pretty much never calling (unless you are known as a maniac) because our three-barrel range here is so strong, and it's really hard for us to have any bluffs in our range. I think I would prefer checking to pick off a spaz bluff if you have reads he's super aggro or to check-fold. Do you have any reads? Our range is pretty much face-up to a lot of combos AK/some combos of AQ, and AA/KK if we check, and I'm not so sure anyone tries to bluff someone off that with a 2/3 PSB shove in a 3-bet pot where value ranges for shoving are so much more narrow than single raised pots. I'm not so sure if people double barrel this runout with 99-JJ.

Two pair might call sometimes, but as you stated he doesn't have much A8/A5 in his range.

I also find that people in general don't turn hands into bluffs, and almost always check behind their SDV hands. So that's another reason why it'd be hard for us to get bluffed off the best hand if we check.
 
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